Foresportia Elo
1475Brasileirão rank : 12th
Esporte Clube Vitória
Foresportia analyses Esporte Clube Vitória using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
55.3%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Esporte Clube Vitória
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Esporte Clube VitóriaElo : 1490
Esporte Clube BahiaElo : 1533
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Esporte Clube Vitória 32%Draw 30%Esporte Clube Bahia 38%
3. Prediction reliability for Esporte Clube Vitória
Data updated on 23 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-06 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-07 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2024-08 | Risk | 57.1% | 14 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | 61.1% | 18 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 52.4% | 21 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 52.0% | 25 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 46.4% | 28 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 44.8% | 29 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 42.4% | 33 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 43.2% | 37 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 41.0% | 39 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 38.6% | 44 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 38.3% | 47 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 40.0% | 50 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 41.8% | 55 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 45.0% | 60 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.8% | 62 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 47.6% | 63 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 46.9% | 64 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 47.8% | 67 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 46.5% | 71 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.7% | 75 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 48.7% | 78 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 48.1% | 79 |
| 2024-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 60.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 58.3% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 61.5% | 13 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 57.1% | 14 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2024-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for Esporte Clube Vitória
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.68 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.73 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Esporte Clube Vitória
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 95 verified matches
6. Market signals for Esporte Clube Vitória
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X71.5%95.2%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1272.3%77.3%22Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet66.9%66.7%15Confirmed signal
Home win57.8%57.1%7Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Esporte Clube Vitória
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Esporte Clube Vitória
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Esporte Clube Vitória
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Esporte Clube Vitória
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Esporte Clube Vitória mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Esporte Clube Vitória still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Esporte Clube Vitória vs Esporte Clube Bahia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 38%.
56/100
AI verdictModerate predictive reliability
Correct and above: 56.2% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Esporte Clube Vitória FAQ
What is the next match for Esporte Clube Vitória on Foresportia?
This page shows Esporte Clube Vitória's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Esporte Clube Vitória's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Esporte Clube Vitória's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Esporte Clube Vitória?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Esporte Clube Vitória, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Esporte Clube Vitória: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Esporte Clube Vitória mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Esporte Clube Vitória still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Esporte Clube Vitória vs Esporte Clube Bahia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 38%.