Foresportia Elo
1537Brasileirão rank : 6th
Esporte Clube Bahia
Foresportia analyses Esporte Clube Bahia using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.51Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.00Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.7%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Esporte Clube Bahia
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Esporte Clube VitóriaElo : 1490
Esporte Clube BahiaElo : 1533
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Esporte Clube Vitória 32%Draw 30%Esporte Clube Bahia 38%
3. Prediction reliability for Esporte Clube Bahia
Data updated on 23 August 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-06 | Risk | 63.6% | 11 |
| 2024-07 | Risk | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2024-08 | Risk | 61.1% | 18 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | 61.9% | 21 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | 58.3% | 24 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 51.9% | 27 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 51.9% | 27 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 52.8% | 36 |
| 2025-06 | Risk | 51.4% | 37 |
| 2025-07 | Risk | 48.7% | 39 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 46.5% | 43 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 42.6% | 47 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 46.2% | 52 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 44.4% | 54 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 44.4% | 54 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 45.5% | 55 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 47.4% | 57 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 48.3% | 60 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 48.4% | 64 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 46.4% | 69 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 44.4% | 72 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 43.2% | 74 |
| 2024-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-07 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 20 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 20 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2024-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Esporte Clube Bahia
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.00 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.96 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Esporte Clube Bahia
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 95 verified matches
6. Market signals for Esporte Clube Bahia
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X70.6%75.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score55.6%73.3%15Success above the average probability
Double chance X263.7%72.2%18Success above the average probability
Under 2.558.4%66.7%12Success above the average probability
Over 2.554.0%60.0%10Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Esporte Clube Bahia
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Esporte Clube Bahia
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Esporte Clube Bahia
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Esporte Clube Bahia
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Esporte Clube Bahia mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Esporte Clube Bahia still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Esporte Clube Vitória vs Esporte Clube Bahia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 38%.
81/100
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 81.0% success across 21 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Esporte Clube Bahia FAQ
What is the next match for Esporte Clube Bahia on Foresportia?
This page shows Esporte Clube Bahia's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Esporte Clube Bahia's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Esporte Clube Bahia's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Esporte Clube Bahia?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Esporte Clube Bahia, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Esporte Clube Bahia: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Esporte Clube Bahia mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Esporte Clube Bahia still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Esporte Clube Vitória vs Esporte Clube Bahia on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 38%.