Logo Elfsborg

Elfsborg

SwedenAllsvenskan2026

Foresportia analyses Elfsborg using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1587Allsvenskan rank : 5th
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
54.9%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: Elfsborg

Elfsborg are enjoying a positive run, taking 10 points from the last five recorded matches in Allsvenskan. Their attack is productive, with 10 goals scored against 5 conceded.

Allsvenskan · 2026 · 24 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
120
103
213
403
221

1. How Foresportia evaluates Elfsborg

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1587Foresportia EloAllsvenskan rank : 5th
1.491X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.26Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.00Recent formpoints / match
54.9%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Allsvenskan

ElfsborgElo : 1593
VS
Malmö FFElo : 1549
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
35%29%36%
Elfsborg 35%Draw 29%Malmö FF 36%
Main signalAway win · 36%
Model confidence44.4%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for Elfsborg

Data updated on 21 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-03RiskInsufficient sample1
2025-04RiskInsufficient sample3
2025-05RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-06Risk70.0%10
2025-07Risk71.4%14
2025-08Risk61.1%18
2025-09Risk60.0%20
2025-10Risk63.6%22
2025-11Risk60.9%23
2026-04Risk59.3%27
2026-05Risk50.0%32
2026-07Risk51.4%35
2026-08Risk48.6%37
2026-09Risk47.4%38
2026-10Risk46.2%39
2025-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-06Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-07Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2026-07Correct and above70.0%10
2026-08Correct and above75.0%12
2026-09Correct and above71.4%14
2026-10Correct and above73.3%15
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-06Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-07Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-07Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-06Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-07Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-07Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for Elfsborg

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.78 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.22 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for Elfsborg

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.30
Expected goals conceded at home0.93
Expected goals created away1.02
Expected goals conceded away0.92
Goals scored / match (5)2.00
Goals conceded / match (5)1.00

History: 54 verified matches

6. Market signals for Elfsborg

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X71.3%75.0%20Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X267.2%70.6%17Robust signal
Double chance 1272.2%66.7%24Confirmed signal
Both teams to score59.0%60.9%23Recurring signal
Home win54.0%71.4%7Promising signal, limited sample

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Elfsborg
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Elfsborg
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, Elfsborg mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Elfsborg is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.21.

The next detected match is Elfsborg vs Malmö FF on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 36%.

AI verdictStrong predictive reliability

Correct and above: 73.3% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

9. Elfsborg FAQ

What is the next match for Elfsborg on Foresportia?

This page shows Elfsborg's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read Elfsborg's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for Elfsborg's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for Elfsborg?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Elfsborg, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

Elfsborg: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, Elfsborg mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

Elfsborg is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.21.

The next detected match is Elfsborg vs Malmö FF on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 36%.