Foresportia Elo
1449Premier Division rank : 6th
Dundalk
Foresportia analyses Dundalk using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.53Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.49Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
44.4%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Dundalk
Dundalk are going through a difficult run, taking 2 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier Division. Their defense needs attention: 11 goals conceded against 5 scored.
Premier Division · 2026 · 26 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Dundalk
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Derry CityElo : 1564
DundalkElo : 1448
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Derry City 50%Draw 29%Dundalk 21%
3. Prediction reliability for Dundalk
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 9.1% | 11 |
| 2026-06 | Risk | 7.1% | 14 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 11.8% | 17 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 15.8% | 19 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 22.7% | 22 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 25.0% | 24 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Dundalk
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.00 pts/matchLower observed return
Away performance1.42 pts/matchHigher observed return
5. Statistical markers for Dundalk
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 26 verified matches
6. Market signals for Dundalk
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to score59.7%80.0%25Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X264.2%73.9%23Success above the average probability
Double chance 1271.5%73.1%26Robust signal
Over 2.557.2%62.5%24Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Dundalk
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Dundalk
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Dundalk
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Dundalk
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Dundalk still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Dundalk still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Derry City vs Dundalk on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Dundalk FAQ
What is the next match for Dundalk on Foresportia?
This page shows Dundalk's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Dundalk's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Dundalk's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Dundalk?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Dundalk, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Dundalk: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Dundalk still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Dundalk still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Derry City vs Dundalk on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.