Foresportia Elo
1548Premier Division rank : 5th
Derry City
Foresportia analyses Derry City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.52Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
44.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Derry City
Derry City are enjoying a positive run, taking 10 points from the last five recorded matches in Premier Division. Their defense has held firm: 4 goals conceded against 5 goals scored.
Premier Division · 2026 · 26 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Derry City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Derry CityElo : 1564
DundalkElo : 1448
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Derry City 50%Draw 29%Dundalk 21%
3. Prediction reliability for Derry City
Data updated on 20 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2026-06 | Risk | 6.7% | 15 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 6.7% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 11.1% | 18 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 14.3% | 21 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 13.0% | 23 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Derry City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.00 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.87 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Derry City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 26 verified matches
6. Market signals for Derry City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X67.3%82.8%29Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.554.7%72.7%11Success above the average probability
Double chance 1270.1%63.3%30Recurring signal
Double chance X266.1%57.7%26Success below the average probability
Both teams to score57.6%55.6%27Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Derry City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Derry City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Derry City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Derry City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Derry City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Derry City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.05.
The next detected match is Derry City vs Dundalk on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Derry City FAQ
What is the next match for Derry City on Foresportia?
This page shows Derry City's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Derry City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Derry City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Derry City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Derry City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Derry City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Derry City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Derry City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.05.
The next detected match is Derry City vs Dundalk on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 50%.