Foresportia Elo
1541Premier Division rank : 6th
Derry City
Foresportia analyses Derry City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.51Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.10Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
39.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Derry City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
ShelbourneElo : 1546
Derry CityElo : 1544
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Shelbourne 35%Draw 31%Derry City 34%
3. Prediction reliability for Derry City
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2026-06 | Risk | 6.7% | 15 |
| 2026-07 | Risk | 6.7% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 11.1% | 18 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-06 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Derry City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.78 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.75 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Derry City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 21 verified matches
6. Market signals for Derry City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X68.0%83.3%24Major, well-documented signal
Under 2.554.7%72.7%11Success above the average probability
Over 2.555.6%64.3%14Success above the average probability
Both teams to score56.8%63.6%22Recurring signal
Double chance X266.0%61.9%21Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Derry City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Derry City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Derry City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Derry City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Derry City mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Derry City shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.20 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Shelbourne vs Derry City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 35%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Derry City FAQ
What is the next match for Derry City on Foresportia?
This page shows Derry City's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Derry City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Derry City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Derry City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Derry City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Derry City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Derry City mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Derry City shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.20 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Shelbourne vs Derry City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 35%.