Foresportia Elo
1543Serie A rank : 4th
Cagliari Calcio
Foresportia analyses Cagliari Calcio using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
61.0%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Cagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio have taken 12 points from five matches in Serie A. The team have scored 5 goals and conceded 2. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Serie A · 2026-2027 · 5 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Cagliari Calcio
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Cagliari CalcioElo : Not available
Juventus TurinElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Cagliari Calcio
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
78.9%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 61.9% | 21 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 65.2% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 62.5% | 24 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 64.0% | 25 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 65.5% | 29 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 63.3% | 30 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 57.6% | 33 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 55.3% | 38 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.2% | 41 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.2% | 43 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 53.3% | 45 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 52.1% | 48 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 51.0% | 49 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 51.0% | 51 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 22 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 82.6% | 23 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 24 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 84.0% | 25 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 81.5% | 27 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 28 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 79.3% | 29 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.7% | 30 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
4. Predictive profile for Cagliari Calcio
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.25 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.00 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Cagliari Calcio
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 81 verified matches
6. Market signals for Cagliari Calcio
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.5%85.7%21Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X74.1%64.7%17Success below the average probability
Under 2.561.9%60.0%15Recurring signal
Double chance X270.4%57.1%14Success below the average probability
Away win63.0%75.0%4Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Cagliari Calcio
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Cagliari Calcio
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Cagliari Calcio
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Cagliari Calcio
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Cagliari Calcio mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Cagliari Calcio is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.46.
The next confirmed match is Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus Turin on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 78.9% success across 19 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Cagliari Calcio FAQ
What is the next match for Cagliari Calcio on Foresportia?
This page shows Cagliari Calcio's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Cagliari Calcio's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Cagliari Calcio's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Cagliari Calcio?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Cagliari Calcio, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Cagliari Calcio: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Cagliari Calcio mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Cagliari Calcio is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of -0.46.
The next confirmed match is Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus Turin on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.