Foresportia Elo
1536Serie A rank : 12th
Cagliari Calcio
Foresportia analyses Cagliari Calcio using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.45Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
55.4%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Cagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio are going through a difficult run, taking 4 points from the last five recorded matches in Serie A. Their defense needs attention: 9 goals conceded against 5 scored. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Serie A · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Cagliari Calcio
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Como 1907Elo : 1684
Cagliari CalcioElo : 1486
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Como 1907 59%Draw 26%Cagliari Calcio 15%
3. Prediction reliability for Cagliari Calcio
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
78.9%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 45.5% | 11 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 12 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 56.2% | 16 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 55.6% | 18 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 61.9% | 21 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 65.2% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 62.5% | 24 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 64.0% | 25 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 65.5% | 29 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 63.3% | 30 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 57.6% | 33 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 55.3% | 38 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.2% | 41 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.2% | 43 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 53.3% | 45 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 52.1% | 48 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 51.0% | 49 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 51.0% | 51 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 50.9% | 53 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 54 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 18 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 22 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 82.6% | 23 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 24 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 84.0% | 25 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 81.5% | 27 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 28 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 79.3% | 29 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.7% | 30 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 77.4% | 31 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 78.1% | 32 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 70.0% | 10 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 82.4% | 17 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 77.8% | 18 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
4. Predictive profile for Cagliari Calcio
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.26 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.95 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Cagliari Calcio
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 86 verified matches
6. Market signals for Cagliari Calcio
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.4%85.2%27Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X72.7%68.2%22Confirmed signal
Under 2.559.8%57.9%19Recurring signal
Double chance X271.4%55.6%18Success below the average probability
Home win59.5%55.6%9Promising signal, limited sample
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Cagliari Calcio
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Cagliari Calcio
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Cagliari Calcio
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Cagliari Calcio
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Cagliari Calcio still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Cagliari Calcio still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Como 1907 vs Cagliari Calcio on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 59%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 78.9% success across 19 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Cagliari Calcio FAQ
What is the next match for Cagliari Calcio on Foresportia?
This page shows Cagliari Calcio's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Cagliari Calcio's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Cagliari Calcio's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Cagliari Calcio?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Cagliari Calcio, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Cagliari Calcio: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Cagliari Calcio still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Cagliari Calcio still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Como 1907 vs Cagliari Calcio on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 59%.