Foresportia Elo
1714Bundesliga rank : 1st
Borussia Dortmund
BVB
Foresportia analyses Borussia Dortmund using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.00Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
3.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
55.8%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund have taken 9 points from three matches in Bundesliga. The team have scored 6 goals and conceded 2. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 3 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Borussia Dortmund
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Borussia DortmundElo : Not available
SV Werder BremenElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Borussia Dortmund
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
93.3%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 55.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 59.1% | 22 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 54.2% | 24 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 57.7% | 26 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 55.6% | 27 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.4% | 35 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.4% | 35 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 52.4% | 42 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 82.6% | 23 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 26 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 85.2% | 27 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 28 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 86.2% | 29 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 86.2% | 29 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for Borussia Dortmund
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.29 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.64 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Borussia Dortmund
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 71 verified matches
6. Market signals for Borussia Dortmund
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1274.6%95.5%22Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet74.5%90.9%11Success above the average probability
Home win60.8%100.0%8Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance 1X72.6%70.6%17Robust signal
Double chance X270.6%64.3%14Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Borussia Dortmund
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Borussia Dortmund
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Borussia Dortmund
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Borussia Dortmund
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Borussia Dortmund mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Borussia Dortmund is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.82.
The next confirmed match is Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 93.3% success across 15 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Borussia Dortmund FAQ
What is the next match for Borussia Dortmund on Foresportia?
This page shows Borussia Dortmund's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Borussia Dortmund's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Borussia Dortmund's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Borussia Dortmund?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Borussia Dortmund, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Borussia Dortmund: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Borussia Dortmund mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Borussia Dortmund is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.82.
The next confirmed match is Borussia Dortmund vs SV Werder Bremen on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.