Foresportia Elo
1709Bundesliga rank : 2nd
Borussia Dortmund
BVB
Foresportia analyses Borussia Dortmund using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.44Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
59.0%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund have taken 9 points from a possible 15 across the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga. The team have scored 7 goals and conceded 5. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Borussia Dortmund
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Borussia MönchengladbachElo : 1410
Borussia DortmundElo : 1704
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Borussia Mönchengladbach 21%Draw 26%Borussia Dortmund 53%
3. Prediction reliability for Borussia Dortmund
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
87.5%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 53.3% | 15 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 55.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 59.1% | 22 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 56.5% | 23 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 54.2% | 24 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 57.7% | 26 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 55.6% | 27 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 32 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 51.4% | 35 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 51.4% | 35 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 52.4% | 42 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 51.2% | 43 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 51.2% | 43 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 78.9% | 19 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 81.0% | 21 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 82.6% | 23 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 26 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 85.2% | 27 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 85.7% | 28 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 86.2% | 29 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 86.2% | 29 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 32 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 33 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 92.3% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 87.5% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for Borussia Dortmund
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.29 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.61 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Borussia Dortmund
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 76 verified matches
6. Market signals for Borussia Dortmund
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1274.4%86.2%29Major, well-documented signal
Home win60.0%83.3%12Success above the average probability
Home draw no bet73.0%76.5%17Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X74.0%73.9%23Robust signal
Double chance X270.0%64.7%17Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Borussia Dortmund
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Borussia Dortmund
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Borussia Dortmund
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Borussia Dortmund
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Borussia Dortmund mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Borussia Dortmund still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 53%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 87.5% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Borussia Dortmund FAQ
What is the next match for Borussia Dortmund on Foresportia?
This page shows Borussia Dortmund's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Borussia Dortmund's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Borussia Dortmund's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Borussia Dortmund?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Borussia Dortmund, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Borussia Dortmund: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Borussia Dortmund mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Borussia Dortmund still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 53%.