Foresportia Elo
1519Championship rank : 4th
Birmingham City
Foresportia analyses Birmingham City using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.80Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
48.9%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Birmingham City
Birmingham City are enjoying a positive run, taking 13 points from the last five recorded matches in Championship. With 12 goals scored and 3 conceded, the team combine a productive attack with a solid defense over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Championship · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Birmingham City
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Cardiff CityElo : 1422
Birmingham CityElo : 1538
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Cardiff City 33%Draw 31%Birmingham City 36%
3. Prediction reliability for Birmingham City
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
80.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 10 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 54.5% | 11 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 46.2% | 13 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 41.2% | 17 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 38.1% | 21 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 40.0% | 25 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 40.0% | 30 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 38.7% | 31 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 35.3% | 34 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 34.2% | 38 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 36.6% | 41 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.9% | 13 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
4. Predictive profile for Birmingham City
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.89 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.07 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Birmingham City
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 56 verified matches
6. Market signals for Birmingham City
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X68.1%75.0%28Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score53.0%71.4%14Success above the average probability
Double chance 1270.4%67.9%28Confirmed signal
Double chance X263.1%61.5%26Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Birmingham City
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Birmingham City
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Birmingham City
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Birmingham City
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Birmingham City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Birmingham City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.23.
The next detected match is Cardiff City vs Birmingham City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 36%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 80.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Birmingham City FAQ
What is the next match for Birmingham City on Foresportia?
This page shows Birmingham City's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Birmingham City's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Birmingham City's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Birmingham City?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Birmingham City, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Birmingham City: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Birmingham City mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Birmingham City is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.60 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.23.
The next detected match is Cardiff City vs Birmingham City on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 36%.