Foresportia Elo
1812Bundesliga rank : 1st
Bayern Munich
Bayern
Foresportia analyses Bayern Munich using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.21Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
63.5%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich are enjoying a positive run, taking 11 points from the last five recorded matches in Bundesliga. Their attack is productive, with 15 goals scored against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 6 | 1 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Bayern Munich
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Bayern MunichElo : 1798
1.FC KölnElo : 1423
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Bayern Munich 80%Draw 15%1.FC Köln 6%
3. Prediction reliability for Bayern Munich
Data updated on 13 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
88.9%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 33.3% | 12 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 11 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 14 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 100.0% | 18 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 95.0% | 20 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 91.7% | 24 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 92.3% | 26 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 92.9% | 28 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 93.5% | 31 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 94.1% | 34 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 91.9% | 37 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 90.0% | 40 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 86.4% | 44 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 87.2% | 47 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 87.8% | 49 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 88.7% | 53 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 87.5% | 56 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 87.7% | 57 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 87.9% | 58 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 85.2% | 61 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | 85.5% | 62 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | 100.0% | 13 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | 94.1% | 17 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | 94.7% | 19 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | 95.0% | 20 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | 95.7% | 23 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | 95.8% | 24 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | 92.6% | 27 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 30 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 87.9% | 33 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 88.6% | 35 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 89.2% | 37 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 40 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 88.4% | 43 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 88.4% | 43 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 88.6% | 44 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 88.9% | 45 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | 88.9% | 45 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | 90.9% | 11 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | 91.7% | 12 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | 93.3% | 15 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | 93.8% | 16 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | 89.5% | 19 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | 86.4% | 22 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 84.0% | 25 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 85.2% | 27 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 86.2% | 29 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 87.1% | 31 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 85.3% | 34 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 85.3% | 34 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 35 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 35 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | 85.7% | 35 |
4. Predictive profile for Bayern Munich
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.58 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance2.43 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Bayern Munich
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 75 verified matches
6. Market signals for Bayern Munich
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X285.6%100.0%13Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X82.8%92.3%13Success above the average probability
Over 2.564.1%85.7%21Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet84.8%81.8%11Robust signal
Home win69.1%81.8%11Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Bayern Munich
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Bayern Munich
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Bayern Munich
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Bayern Munich
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Bayern Munich mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bayern Munich is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.79.
The next detected match is Bayern Munich vs 1.FC Köln on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 80%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 88.9% success across 45 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Bayern Munich FAQ
What is the next match for Bayern Munich on Foresportia?
This page shows Bayern Munich's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Bayern Munich's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Bayern Munich's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Bayern Munich?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Bayern Munich, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Bayern Munich: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Bayern Munich mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Bayern Munich is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.79.
The next detected match is Bayern Munich vs 1.FC Köln on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 80%.