Logo AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

NetherlandsEredivisie2026-2027

Foresportia analyses AZ Alkmaar using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1628Eredivisie rank : 2nd
1X2 entropy
1.47Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.26Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.00Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
54.4%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 11 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Eredivisie. Results have been positive over these matches, with 10 points taken from a possible 15. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Eredivisie · 2026-2027 · 7 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
523
323
103
020
221

1. How Foresportia evaluates AZ Alkmaar

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1628Foresportia EloEredivisie rank : 2nd
1.471X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.26Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.00Recent formpoints / match
54.4%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

UEFA Europa League

Ararat-ArmeniaElo : Not available
VS
AZ AlkmaarElo : Not available
Main signal—
Model confidenceNot available
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for AZ Alkmaar

Data updated on 19 October 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2025-08RiskInsufficient sample3
2025-09RiskInsufficient sample7
2025-10Risk50.0%10
2025-11Risk50.0%14
2025-12Risk43.8%16
2026-01Risk47.4%19
2026-02Risk50.0%22
2026-03Risk45.8%24
2026-04Risk44.0%25
2026-05Risk40.7%27
2026-08Risk46.7%30
2026-09Risk48.4%31
2026-10Risk50.0%32
2025-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-01Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-02Correct and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-03Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2026-04Correct and aboveInsufficient sample6
2026-05Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample7
2026-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2026-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample9
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2025-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2026-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample1
2026-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2026-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1

4. Predictive profile for AZ Alkmaar

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.95 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.41 pts/matchLower observed return

5. Statistical markers for AZ Alkmaar

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.26
Expected goals conceded at home0.77
Expected goals created away1.20
Expected goals conceded away0.74
Goals scored / match (5)2.20
Goals conceded / match (5)1.60

History: 41 verified matches

6. Market signals for AZ Alkmaar

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1X73.0%81.0%21Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet71.8%73.3%15Robust signal
Double chance 1274.0%72.0%25Robust signal
Home win61.7%66.7%9Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance X268.2%56.2%16Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AZ Alkmaar
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AZ Alkmaar
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, AZ Alkmaar mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AZ Alkmaar is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.96.

The next confirmed match is Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore EredivisieLeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. AZ Alkmaar FAQ

What is the next match for AZ Alkmaar on Foresportia?

This page shows AZ Alkmaar's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.

How should you read AZ Alkmaar's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for AZ Alkmaar's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for AZ Alkmaar?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AZ Alkmaar, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

AZ Alkmaar: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, AZ Alkmaar mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AZ Alkmaar is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.96.

The next confirmed match is Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.