Foresportia Elo
1678La Liga rank : 2nd
Atlético Madrid
Atlético
Foresportia analyses Atlético Madrid using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.50Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.00Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
3.00Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
53.1%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid are enjoying a positive run, taking 15 points from the last five recorded matches in La Liga. With 12 goals scored and 2 conceded, the team combine a productive attack with a solid defense over these matches. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
La Liga · 2026-2027 · 8 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Atlético Madrid
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Atlético de MadridElo : 1688
Deportivo de La CoruñaElo : 1557
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Atlético de Madrid 56%Draw 27%Deportivo de La Coruña 17%
3. Prediction reliability for Atlético Madrid
Data updated on 21 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
90.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 43.8% | 16 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 44.4% | 18 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 39.1% | 23 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 36.0% | 25 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 35.7% | 28 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 35.7% | 28 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 36.7% | 30 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 40.6% | 32 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 43.6% | 39 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 43.9% | 41 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 43.2% | 44 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 45.7% | 46 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 72.2% | 18 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 20 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 76.2% | 21 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 25 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 82.1% | 28 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 78.1% | 32 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 34 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 77.1% | 35 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 77.1% | 35 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 76.3% | 38 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 76.3% | 38 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
4. Predictive profile for Atlético Madrid
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.41 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.51 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Atlético Madrid
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 84 verified matches
6. Market signals for Atlético Madrid
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.5%92.3%26Major, well-documented signal
Home win57.9%80.0%10Success above the average probability
Home draw no bet76.6%72.7%11Robust signal
Double chance 1X70.4%65.0%20Confirmed signal
Over 2.553.6%64.3%14Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Atlético Madrid
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Atlético Madrid
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Atlético Madrid
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Atlético Madrid
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Atlético Madrid mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Atlético Madrid is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.32.
The next detected match is Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo de La Coruña on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 56%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 90.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Atlético Madrid FAQ
What is the next match for Atlético Madrid on Foresportia?
This page shows Atlético Madrid's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Atlético Madrid's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Atlético Madrid's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Atlético Madrid?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Atlético Madrid, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Atlético Madrid: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Atlético Madrid mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Atlético Madrid is going through a strong control sequence, with 3.00 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.32.
The next detected match is Atlético de Madrid vs Deportivo de La Coruña on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 56%.