Foresportia Elo
1643La Liga rank : 4th
Atlético Madrid
Atlético
Foresportia analyses Atlético Madrid using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.36Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.40Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
57.6%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Atlético Madrid
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Real SociedadElo : 1514
Atlético de MadridElo : 1612
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Real Sociedad 24%Draw 31%Atlético de Madrid 45%
3. Prediction reliability for Atlético Madrid
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
90.0%| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 40.0% | 10 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 36.4% | 11 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 43.8% | 16 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 44.4% | 18 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 42.9% | 21 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 39.1% | 23 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 36.0% | 25 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 37.0% | 27 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 35.7% | 28 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 35.7% | 28 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 36.7% | 30 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 40.6% | 32 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 41.7% | 36 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 43.6% | 39 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 43.9% | 41 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 42.9% | 42 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 10 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | 73.3% | 15 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 17 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | 72.2% | 18 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 20 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | 76.2% | 21 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 25 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | 82.1% | 28 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 78.1% | 32 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 76.5% | 34 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 77.1% | 35 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 77.1% | 35 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 75.7% | 37 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | 90.0% | 10 |
4. Predictive profile for Atlético Madrid
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.38 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.40 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Atlético Madrid
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 79 verified matches
6. Market signals for Atlético Madrid
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1272.9%90.5%21Major, well-documented signal
Home win57.8%77.8%9Promising signal, limited sample
Home draw no bet76.3%70.0%10Robust signal
Double chance 1X70.8%64.7%17Recurring signal
Both teams to score54.8%61.5%13Recurring signal
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Atlético Madrid
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Atlético Madrid
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Atlético Madrid
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Atlético Madrid
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Atlético Madrid mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Atlético Madrid still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Real Sociedad vs Atlético de Madrid on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 45%.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Stable and above: 90.0% success across 10 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Atlético Madrid FAQ
What is the next match for Atlético Madrid on Foresportia?
This page shows Atlético Madrid's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Atlético Madrid's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Atlético Madrid's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Atlético Madrid?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Atlético Madrid, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Atlético Madrid: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Atlético Madrid mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Atlético Madrid still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Real Sociedad vs Atlético de Madrid on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 45%.