Foresportia Elo
1559Peruvian Liga 1 rank : —
Alianza Atletico
Foresportia analyses Alianza Atletico using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.55Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.47Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
43.0%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Alianza Atletico
The defense of Alianza Atletico needs attention: 12 goals conceded across the last five recorded matches in Peruvian Liga 1. The team have scored 6 goals over these matches. The team have taken 6 points from a possible 15 over these matches.
Peruvian Liga 1 · 2026 · 16 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Alianza Atletico
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Alianza AtleticoElo : 1535
FBC MelgarElo : 1648
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Alianza Atletico 28%Draw 26%FBC Melgar 46%
3. Prediction reliability for Alianza Atletico
Data updated on 14 November 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-11 | Risk | 64.3% | 14 |
| 2026-07 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-07 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-07 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
4. Predictive profile for Alianza Atletico
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance2.62 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance0.88 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for Alianza Atletico
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 16 verified matches
6. Market signals for Alianza Atletico
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1269.3%93.3%15Major, well-documented signal
Home draw no bet60.2%81.8%11Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X68.8%80.0%15Major, well-documented signal
Both teams to score54.7%76.9%13Success above the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Alianza Atletico
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Alianza Atletico
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Alianza Atletico
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Alianza Atletico
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Alianza Atletico mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Alianza Atletico still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 46%.
Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Alianza Atletico FAQ
What is the next match for Alianza Atletico on Foresportia?
This page shows Alianza Atletico's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Alianza Atletico's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Alianza Atletico's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Alianza Atletico?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Alianza Atletico, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Alianza Atletico: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Alianza Atletico mainly draws value from its home edge. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Alianza Atletico still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next detected match is Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 46%.