Foresportia Elo
1643Eredivisie rank : 4th
Ajax Amsterdam
Foresportia analyses Ajax Amsterdam using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.47Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
1.60Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
54.4%Average over 10 predictions1. How Foresportia evaluates Ajax Amsterdam
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
Fortuna SittardElo : 1481
Ajax AmsterdamElo : 1624
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
Fortuna Sittard 16%Draw 26%Ajax Amsterdam 58%
3. Prediction reliability for Ajax Amsterdam
Data updated on 06 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 30.8% | 13 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 35.7% | 14 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 31.2% | 16 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 26.3% | 19 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 25.0% | 20 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 20.8% | 24 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 26.9% | 26 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 29.6% | 27 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Ajax Amsterdam
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.71 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.63 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Ajax Amsterdam
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 40 verified matches
6. Market signals for Ajax Amsterdam
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X276.8%91.7%12Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X75.7%72.7%11Robust signal
Over 2.557.1%58.3%12Recurring signal
Double chance 1275.8%55.0%20Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Ajax Amsterdam
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Ajax Amsterdam
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Ajax Amsterdam
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Ajax Amsterdam
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Ajax Amsterdam mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Ajax Amsterdam shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 58%.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Correct and above: 69.2% success across 13 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Ajax Amsterdam FAQ
What is the next match for Ajax Amsterdam on Foresportia?
This page shows Ajax Amsterdam's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.
How should you read Ajax Amsterdam's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Ajax Amsterdam's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Ajax Amsterdam?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Ajax Amsterdam, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Ajax Amsterdam: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Ajax Amsterdam mainly shows a more productive attacking profile. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Ajax Amsterdam shows a stronger attacking profile, scoring 2.00 goals per match recently.
The next detected match is Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax Amsterdam on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Away win” around 58%.