Foresportia Elo
1640Eredivisie rank : 4th
Ajax Amsterdam
Foresportia analyses Ajax Amsterdam using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.43Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
0.98Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
2.20Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
57.6%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: Ajax Amsterdam
Ajax Amsterdam are enjoying a positive run, taking 11 points from the last five recorded matches in Eredivisie. Their attack is productive, with 18 goals scored against 7 conceded. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.
Eredivisie · 2026-2027 · 9 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates Ajax Amsterdam
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
AjaxElo : Not available
AtalantaElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for Ajax Amsterdam
Data updated on 19 October 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 30.0% | 10 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 30.8% | 13 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 35.7% | 14 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 31.2% | 16 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 26.3% | 19 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 25.0% | 20 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 20.8% | 24 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 26.9% | 26 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 29.6% | 27 |
| 2026-10 | Risk | 31.0% | 29 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 72.7% | 11 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 75.0% | 12 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 69.2% | 13 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 68.8% | 16 |
| 2026-10 | Correct and above | 68.8% | 16 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 0 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2026-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
4. Predictive profile for Ajax Amsterdam
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.71 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.76 pts/matchComparable return
5. Statistical markers for Ajax Amsterdam
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 45 verified matches
6. Market signals for Ajax Amsterdam
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance X275.8%93.3%15Major, well-documented signal
Double chance 1X77.3%78.6%14Robust signal
Over 2.558.4%64.7%17Recurring signal
Both teams to score58.1%62.5%16Recurring signal
Double chance 1275.4%56.0%25Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
Ajax Amsterdam
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
Ajax Amsterdam
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
Ajax Amsterdam
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
Ajax Amsterdam
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, Ajax Amsterdam mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Ajax Amsterdam is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.05.
The next confirmed match is Ajax vs Atalanta on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictStrong predictive reliability
Correct and above: 68.8% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. Ajax Amsterdam FAQ
What is the next match for Ajax Amsterdam on Foresportia?
This page shows Ajax Amsterdam's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read Ajax Amsterdam's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for Ajax Amsterdam's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for Ajax Amsterdam?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for Ajax Amsterdam, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
Ajax Amsterdam: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, Ajax Amsterdam mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
Ajax Amsterdam is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.20 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 1.05.
The next confirmed match is Ajax vs Atalanta on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.