Logo AC Milan

AC Milan

Milan

ItalySerie A2026-2027

Foresportia analyses AC Milan using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.

Foresportia Elo
1661Serie A rank : 5th
1X2 entropy
1.49Lower = easier to read
Points volatility
1.20Standard deviation over 5 matches
Recent form
2.40Points per match over 5 matches
Model confidence
52.8%Average over 10 predictions

Current analysis: AC Milan

AC Milan are scoring freely, but their defense is vulnerable: 12 goals scored and 8 conceded across the last five recorded matches in Serie A. Results have been positive over these matches, with 12 points taken from a possible 15. More matches this season are needed to confirm this trend.

Serie A · 2026-2027 · 10 matches analyzed

View analyzed match details
Matches analyzed (up to 5)
DateGoals scoredGoals concededPoints
323
203
240
313
213

1. How Foresportia evaluates AC Milan

Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.

1661Foresportia EloSerie A rank : 5th
1.491X2 entropyLower = easier to read
1.20Points volatilityStandard deviation over 5 matches
2.40Recent formpoints / match
52.8%Model confidenceAverage over 10 predictions

2. Next match

Serie A

AC MilanElo : 1651
VS
Frosinone CalcioElo : 1653
1X2 probabilities (Foresportia model)
53%25%22%
AC Milan 53%Draw 25%Frosinone Calcio 22%
Main signalHome win · 53%
Model confidence58.5%
StabilityRisk
View match details →

3. Prediction reliability for AC Milan

Data updated on 14 November 2026

Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
68.4%
Cumulative monthly historyProfileReliabilityVolume
2024-08RiskInsufficient sample2
2024-09RiskInsufficient sample3
2024-10RiskInsufficient sample5
2024-11RiskInsufficient sample8
2024-12RiskInsufficient sample9
2025-01Risk54.5%11
2025-02Risk53.3%15
2025-03Risk61.1%18
2025-04Risk61.9%21
2025-05Risk65.2%23
2025-08Risk66.7%24
2025-09Risk65.4%26
2025-10Risk60.0%30
2025-11Risk57.6%33
2025-12Risk57.6%33
2026-01Risk55.6%36
2026-02Risk56.4%39
2026-03Risk53.7%41
2026-04Risk53.5%43
2026-05Risk54.3%46
2026-08Risk55.3%47
2026-09Risk53.1%49
2026-10Risk51.9%54
2026-11Risk52.7%55
2024-08Correct and aboveInsufficient sample1
2024-09Correct and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-10Correct and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-11Correct and aboveInsufficient sample5
2024-12Correct and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-01Correct and above60.0%10
2025-02Correct and above63.6%11
2025-03Correct and above66.7%12
2025-04Correct and above69.2%13
2025-05Correct and above73.3%15
2025-08Correct and above75.0%16
2025-09Correct and above76.5%17
2025-10Correct and above76.5%17
2025-11Correct and above72.2%18
2025-12Correct and above71.4%21
2026-01Correct and above70.8%24
2026-02Correct and above68.0%25
2026-03Correct and above70.4%27
2026-04Correct and above69.0%29
2026-05Correct and above66.7%30
2026-08Correct and above66.7%30
2026-09Correct and above67.7%31
2026-10Correct and above67.7%31
2026-11Correct and above67.7%31
2024-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample0
2024-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample2
2024-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample3
2024-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2024-12Stable and aboveInsufficient sample4
2025-01Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-02Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-03Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-04Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-05Stable and aboveInsufficient sample6
2025-08Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-09Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-10Stable and aboveInsufficient sample7
2025-11Stable and aboveInsufficient sample8
2025-12Stable and above72.7%11
2026-01Stable and above71.4%14
2026-02Stable and above66.7%15
2026-03Stable and above70.6%17
2026-04Stable and above70.6%17
2026-05Stable and above66.7%18
2026-08Stable and above66.7%18
2026-09Stable and above68.4%19
2026-10Stable and above68.4%19
2026-11Stable and above68.4%19
2024-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2024-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample0
2025-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample1
2025-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample2
2025-12Ultra stableInsufficient sample3
2026-01Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-02Ultra stableInsufficient sample5
2026-03Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-04Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-05Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-08Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-09Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-10Ultra stableInsufficient sample6
2026-11Ultra stableInsufficient sample6

4. Predictive profile for AC Milan

ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.79 pts/matchComparable return
Away performance1.80 pts/matchComparable return

5. Statistical markers for AC Milan

Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.

Expected goals created at home1.21
Expected goals conceded at home0.80
Expected goals created away1.38
Expected goals conceded away0.76
Goals scored / match (5)2.40
Goals conceded / match (5)1.60

History: 86 verified matches

6. Market signals for AC Milan

MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Double chance 1273.5%83.3%30Major, well-documented signal
Double chance X272.7%70.8%24Robust signal
Away win56.0%66.7%12Success above the average probability
Over 2.556.7%63.6%11Recurring signal
Double chance 1X72.0%61.1%18Success below the average probability

7. Model dynamics & analysis

Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
AC Milan
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
AC Milan
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect

8. Foresportia analysis

For Foresportia, AC Milan mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AC Milan is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.54.

The next detected match is AC Milan vs Frosinone Calcio on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 53%.

AI verdictStrong predictive reliability

Stable and above: 68.4% success across 19 verified 1X2 predictions.

Verify the complete history →

Continue exploring

Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.

View upcoming matchesBrowse upcoming fixtures and AI analysis.→Explore Serie ALeague calendar, standings and predictions.→Explore teamsBrowse analysis and profiles for other clubs.→Verify our performanceReview Foresportia’s verifiable prediction history.→

9. AC Milan FAQ

What is the next match for AC Milan on Foresportia?

This page shows AC Milan's confirmed next match with the enriched prediction probabilities that are currently available.

How should you read AC Milan's ranking and Elo?

This page includes dedicated charts for AC Milan's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.

What does the strongest picks block mean for AC Milan?

It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for AC Milan, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.

AC Milan: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals

For Foresportia, AC Milan mainly combines stronger recent control and a more reliable defensive base. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.

AC Milan is going through a strong control sequence, with 2.40 points per match over the last five matches and an average xG delta of 0.54.

The next detected match is AC Milan vs Frosinone Calcio on . The leading 1X2 read currently points to “Home win” around 53%.