Foresportia Elo
1459Bundesliga rank : 13th
1.FC Köln
Foresportia analyses 1.FC Köln using its match data and proprietary models: Elo level, recent form, probabilities, observed reliability and verifiable market signals.
1X2 entropy
1.48Lower = easier to readPoints volatility
1.17Standard deviation over 5 matchesRecent form
0.80Points per match over 5 matchesModel confidence
52.7%Average over 10 predictionsCurrent analysis: 1.FC Köln
1.FC Köln have taken 4 points from four matches in Bundesliga. The team have scored 6 goals and conceded 9. It is still too early to judge their form, attack or defense from so few matches.
Bundesliga · 2026-2027 · 4 matches analyzed
View analyzed match details
| Date | Goals scored | Goals conceded | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1 | 4 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 |
1. How Foresportia evaluates 1.FC Köln
Summary of indicators actually available in Foresportia data.
2. Next match
1.FC KölnElo : Not available
Borussia MönchengladbachElo : Not available
3. Prediction reliability for 1.FC Köln
Data updated on 28 September 2026
Reliability trendCumulative monthly history
Insufficient sample| Cumulative monthly history | Profile | Reliability | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2024-09 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2024-10 | Risk | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2024-11 | Risk | 38.5% | 13 |
| 2024-12 | Risk | 42.9% | 14 |
| 2025-01 | Risk | 50.0% | 16 |
| 2025-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 20 |
| 2025-03 | Risk | 54.2% | 24 |
| 2025-04 | Risk | 50.0% | 28 |
| 2025-05 | Risk | 51.7% | 29 |
| 2025-08 | Risk | 51.6% | 31 |
| 2025-09 | Risk | 51.5% | 33 |
| 2025-10 | Risk | 50.0% | 34 |
| 2025-11 | Risk | 50.0% | 38 |
| 2025-12 | Risk | 50.0% | 40 |
| 2026-01 | Risk | 48.8% | 43 |
| 2026-02 | Risk | 50.0% | 46 |
| 2026-03 | Risk | 47.9% | 48 |
| 2026-04 | Risk | 49.0% | 51 |
| 2026-05 | Risk | 47.2% | 53 |
| 2026-08 | Risk | 46.3% | 54 |
| 2026-09 | Risk | 44.6% | 56 |
| 2024-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-01 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-02 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-03 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-04 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-05 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-08 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2025-09 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2025-10 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-11 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2025-12 | Correct and above | Insufficient sample | 9 |
| 2026-01 | Correct and above | 81.8% | 11 |
| 2026-02 | Correct and above | 83.3% | 12 |
| 2026-03 | Correct and above | 84.6% | 13 |
| 2026-04 | Correct and above | 78.6% | 14 |
| 2026-05 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-08 | Correct and above | 80.0% | 15 |
| 2026-09 | Correct and above | 81.2% | 16 |
| 2024-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2025-10 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-11 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2025-12 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-01 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 6 |
| 2026-02 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-03 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-04 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 7 |
| 2026-05 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-08 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2026-09 | Stable and above | Insufficient sample | 8 |
| 2024-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2024-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 1 |
| 2025-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-10 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-11 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 2 |
| 2025-12 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 3 |
| 2026-01 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-02 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-03 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-04 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 4 |
| 2026-05 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-08 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
| 2026-09 | Ultra stable | Insufficient sample | 5 |
4. Predictive profile for 1.FC Köln
ContextObserved measureReading
Home performance1.50 pts/matchHigher observed return
Away performance1.19 pts/matchLower observed return
5. Statistical markers for 1.FC Köln
Team values from Foresportia sources, without a reconstructed league average.
History: 72 verified matches
6. Market signals for 1.FC Köln
MarketAverage probabilityReliabilityVolumeReading
Both teams to score57.9%100.0%10Success above the average probability
Double chance 1X70.4%93.8%16Major, well-documented signal
Over 2.557.9%77.8%9Promising signal, limited sample
Double chance X268.8%66.7%15Confirmed signal
Double chance 1272.3%63.2%19Success below the average probability
7. Model dynamics & analysis
Foresportia Elo trendTracks the team’s relative level as matches are played.
1.FC Köln
Average model confidenceShows how the model’s average certainty changes across matches.
1.FC Köln
xG differential trendCompares expected goals created and conceded to track the balance of chances.
PositiveNegative
Model calibrationCompares published probabilities with the rates actually observed.
Observed ratePerfect
League-position trendTracks the team’s league position throughout the season.
1.FC Köln
Goals scored / concededCompares goals scored and conceded using a five-match rolling average.
Goals scored / match (5)Goals conceded / match (5)
Points per matchTracks points earned per match using a five-match rolling average.
1.FC Köln
8. Foresportia analysis
For Foresportia, 1.FC Köln still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
1.FC Köln still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is 1.FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.
AI verdictHigh predictive reliability
Correct and above: 81.2% success across 16 verified 1X2 predictions.
Verify the complete history →Continue exploring
Upcoming matches, competition, other teams and verifiable history.
9. 1.FC Köln FAQ
What is the next match for 1.FC Köln on Foresportia?
This page shows 1.FC Köln's confirmed next match. The enriched prediction and its probabilities are not available yet.
How should you read 1.FC Köln's ranking and Elo?
This page includes dedicated charts for 1.FC Köln's ranking and Elo trends, with season separators to make the evolution easier to read.
What does the strongest picks block mean for 1.FC Köln?
It highlights the markets that performed best in the available history for 1.FC Köln, together with sample size, hit rate and average probability.
1.FC Köln: AI analysis, predictions and Foresportia signals
For Foresportia, 1.FC Köln still requires a more cautious read tied to recent form and match context. This page also tracks ranking, Elo evolution, goal trends and the market signals Foresportia finds most useful.
1.FC Köln still needs to be read through recent form, Elo and its advanced production indicators.
The next confirmed match is 1.FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on . Probabilities will appear when an enriched prediction is available.