Veikkausliiga · Scheduled

First AI projection for IF Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn

First AI projection for this Veikkausliiga fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow IF Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn and today's matchesAll Veikkausliiga predictions
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IF Gnistan

Standing#6

Elo rating1509

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
DDWWW

Expected goals2.75

ScheduledVSJuly 11, 2026
16:00

IFK Mariehamn

Standing#12

Elo rating1320

Form index0%

Last 5 matches
LLLLL

Expected goals0.38

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for IF Gnistan at 60.4%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 85.3%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (16.54%)
  • BTTSYes · 53.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.1%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

IF Gnistan60.4%
Draw24.9%
IFK Mariehamn14.7%

Main pickIF Gnistan60.4%

Confidence76.5%

StabilityStable

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Expected goals and trends

IF Gnistan2.75
Expected total3.13
IFK Mariehamn0.38
55.1%Over 2.5

Over 55.1% Under 44.9%

53.4%BTTS

Yes 53.4% No 46.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X85.3%
X239.6%
1275.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 0 — 16.5%
  2. Likely score 3 - 0 — 15.2%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 12.1%
  4. Likely score 4 - 0 — 10.4%
  5. Likely score 2 - 1 — 6.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

IF Gnistan 68.3%IFK Mariehamn 6.5%

Draw no bet

IF Gnistan 80.4%IFK Mariehamn 19.6%

Win to nil

IF Gnistan 63.8%IFK Mariehamn 2%

Win by 2+ goals

IF Gnistan 67%IFK Mariehamn 0.5%

IF Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about IF Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn?

The early estimate gives IF Gnistan a slight edge at 60.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 0 (16.54%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Veikkausliiga

What the data says about IF Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn

This Veikkausliiga fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, IF Gnistan sits 6th and IFK Mariehamn 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1509 for IF Gnistan and 1320 for IFK Mariehamn.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for IF Gnistan and 0% for IFK Mariehamn. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives IF Gnistan 60.4%, the draw 24.9% and IFK Mariehamn 14.7%. The expected-goals model projects 2.75 xG against 0.38, for a combined 3.13.