Veikkausliiga · Scheduled

First AI projection for HJK vs Vaasan Palloseura

First AI projection for this Veikkausliiga fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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HJK

Standing#4

Elo rating1542

Form index66.7%

Last 5 matches
LWDWW

Expected goals1.18

ScheduledVSJuly 18, 2026
14:00

Vaasan Palloseura

Standing#5

Elo rating1541

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWDL

Expected goals1.59

Match context to watch
Ranking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for HJK at 47.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 75.8%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (11.75%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

HJK47.6%
Draw28.2%
Vaasan Palloseura24.2%

Main pickHJK47.6%

Confidence47.7%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

HJK1.18
Expected total2.77
Vaasan Palloseura1.59
54%Over 2.5

Over 54% Under 46%

57.1%BTTS

Yes 57.1% No 42.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X75.8%
X252.4%
1271.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 111.8%
  2. Likely score 0 - 19.9%
  3. Likely score 1 - 29.3%
  4. Likely score 0 - 27.9%
  5. Likely score 1 - 07.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

HJK 20.3%Vaasan Palloseura 30.6%

Draw no bet

HJK 66.3%Vaasan Palloseura 33.7%

Win to nil

HJK 14%Vaasan Palloseura 24.2%

Win by 2+ goals

HJK 11.4%Vaasan Palloseura 24.1%

HJK vs Vaasan Palloseura early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about HJK vs Vaasan Palloseura?

The early estimate gives HJK a slight edge at 47.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (11.75%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Veikkausliiga

What the data says about HJK vs Vaasan Palloseura

This Veikkausliiga fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, HJK sits 4th and Vaasan Palloseura 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1542 for HJK and 1541 for Vaasan Palloseura.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for HJK and 53.3% for Vaasan Palloseura. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives HJK 47.6%, the draw 28.2% and Vaasan Palloseura 24.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.18 xG against 1.59, for a combined 2.77.