Relative strengthAdvantage FC Thoune
Prediction for FC Thoune vs FC Lausanne-Sport
FC ThouneView team →WLLWD47.6%FC Thoune
26.6%Draw
25.8%FC Lausanne-Sport
FC Lausanne-SportView team →LLDWDVERDICTFC Thoune slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that FC Thoune has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give FC Thoune a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 74.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 48.1%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 74.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for FC Thoune
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
FC Thoune47.6%Draw26.6%
FC Lausanne-Sport25.8%Main pickFC Thoune
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence48.1%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | FC Thoune | 64.8% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 64% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 80.2% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.80FC Thoune
Total xG3.03
Expected goals (xG)1.23FC Lausanne-Sport
Under 2.5 probability36%
BTTS No probability36.7%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 113.3%1 - 18.9%1 - 28.7%1 - 07.9%0 - 06.7%
Advanced scenarios
FC ThouneFC Lausanne-Sport27.5%
Clean sheet15.9%
20.7%
Win to nil9.2%
25.8%
Win by 2 goals or more8.7%
Team comparison
6thCurrent position8th
1547Elo1412
WLLWDForm (last 5)LLDWD
2.0Goals scored / match (5)1.2
3.0Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
41.4%
41.4% correct predictions
over 222 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for FC Thoune vs FC Lausanne-Sport?
The Foresportia model gives FC Thoune a slight edge at 47.6%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 2 - 1 (13.35%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 63.3% and BTTS No at 36.7%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 74.2%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about FC Thoune vs FC Lausanne-Sport
This Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, FC Thoune sits 6th and FC Lausanne-Sport 8th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1547 for FC Thoune and 1412 for FC Lausanne-Sport.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for FC Thoune and 33.3% for FC Lausanne-Sport. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives FC Thoune 47.6%, the draw 26.6% and FC Lausanne-Sport 25.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.80 xG against 1.23, for a combined 3.03. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 13.3%.