Super League · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Lucerne vs FC Thoune

First AI projection for this Super League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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FC Lucerne

Standing#8

Elo rating1542

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WWDWW

Expected goals2.45

ScheduledVSJuly 25, 2026
20:30

FC Thoune

Standing#11

Elo rating1463

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
DLLLL

Expected goals0.97

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Thoune at 42.2%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 65.4%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (9.85%)
  • BTTSYes · 63.9%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 62.4%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Lucerne34.6%
Draw23.2%
FC Thoune42.2%

Main pickFC Thoune42.2%

Confidence43.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Lucerne2.45
Expected total3.42
FC Thoune0.97
62.4%Over 2.5

Over 62.4% Under 37.6%

63.9%BTTS

Yes 63.9% No 36.1%

Double chance

Available markets

1X57.8%
X265.4%
1276.8%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 09.8%
  2. Likely score 2 - 19.5%
  3. Likely score 1 - 08.1%
  4. Likely score 3 - 08%
  5. Likely score 1 - 17.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Lucerne 40.6%FC Thoune 12.5%

Draw no bet

FC Lucerne 45%FC Thoune 55%

Win to nil

FC Lucerne 35.5%FC Thoune 7.4%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Lucerne 46%FC Thoune 5.8%

FC Lucerne vs FC Thoune early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Lucerne vs FC Thoune?

The early estimate gives FC Thoune a slight edge at 42.2%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 0 (9.85%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Super League

What the data says about FC Lucerne vs FC Thoune

This Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Lucerne sits 8th and FC Thoune 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1542 for FC Lucerne and 1463 for FC Thoune.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 86.7% for FC Lucerne and 6.7% for FC Thoune. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Lucerne 34.6%, the draw 23.2% and FC Thoune 42.2%. The expected-goals model projects 2.45 xG against 0.97, for a combined 3.42.