Super League · Scheduled

First AI projection for FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Lugano

First AI projection for this Super League fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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FC Bâle 1893

Standing#5

Elo rating1517

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WLWLL

Expected goals1.40

ScheduledVS

FC Lugano

Standing#1

Elo rating1639

Form index86.7%

Last 5 matches
WWWWD

Expected goals1.26

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for FC Bâle 1893 at 39.3%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 66.7%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (12.64%)
  • BTTSYes · 61%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.9%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

FC Bâle 189339.3%
Draw27.4%
FC Lugano33.3%

Main pickFC Bâle 189339.3%

Confidence32.8%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

FC Bâle 18931.40
Expected total2.66
FC Lugano1.26
55.9%Over 2.5

Over 55.9% Under 44.1%

61%BTTS

Yes 61% No 39%

Double chance

Available markets

1X66.7%
X260.7%
1272.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 1 — 12.6%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.7%
  3. Likely score 1 - 2 — 11.2%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.6%
  5. Likely score 1 - 0 — 8.4%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

FC Bâle 1893 25.8%FC Lugano 22.7%

Draw no bet

FC Bâle 1893 54.1%FC Lugano 45.9%

Win to nil

FC Bâle 1893 16.2%FC Lugano 13.2%

Win by 2+ goals

FC Bâle 1893 15.4%FC Lugano 11.5%

FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Lugano early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Lugano?

The early estimate gives FC Bâle 1893 a slight edge at 39.3%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.64%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

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What the data says about FC Bâle 1893 vs FC Lugano

This Super League fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, FC Bâle 1893 sits 5th and FC Lugano 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1517 for FC Bâle 1893 and 1639 for FC Lugano.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for FC Bâle 1893 and 86.7% for FC Lugano. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives FC Bâle 1893 39.3%, the draw 27.4% and FC Lugano 33.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.40 xG against 1.26, for a combined 2.66.