Relative strengthSlight edge for FCSB
Prediction for FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti
FCSBLLLWD53%FCSB
27.6%Draw
19.5%Petrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul PloiestiWWLWWVERDICTFCSB slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that FCSB has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give FCSB a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 80.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 54.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 80.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Petrolul Ploiesti
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
FCSB53%Draw27.6%
Petrolul Ploiesti19.5%Main pickFCSB
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence54.5%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 80.5% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | FCSB | 73.1% | Solid |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 51.5% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 75.7% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.61FCSB
Total xG2.50
Expected goals (xG)0.89Petrolul Ploiesti
Under 2.5 probability51.5%
BTTS No probability49.5%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 012.7%2 - 111.7%1 - 111.6%0 - 010.1%2 - 08.4%
Advanced scenarios
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti39.6%
Clean sheet19.9%
29.5%
Win to nil9.8%
27%
Win by 2 goals or more5.4%
Team comparison
FCSBPetrolul Ploiesti6thCurrent position3rd
1576Elo1507
LLLWDForm (last 5)WWLWW
1.0Goals scored / match (5)1.6
1.6Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
20.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
48.2%
48.2% correct predictions
over 114 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
The Foresportia model gives FCSB a slight edge at 53%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (12.66%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.5% and BTTS No at 49.5%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 80.5%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about FCSB vs Petrolul Ploiesti
This Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, FCSB sits 6th and Petrolul Ploiesti 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1576 for FCSB and 1507 for Petrolul Ploiesti.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for FCSB and 80% for Petrolul Ploiesti. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives FCSB 53%, the draw 27.6% and Petrolul Ploiesti 19.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.61 xG against 0.89, for a combined 2.50. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–0 at 12.7%.