Süper Lig · Full time

Prediction for Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor

Süper Lig AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Antalyaspor

Standing#16

Elo rating1372

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LDLLL

Expected goals1.51

Full time1 - 0May 17, 2026
19:00

Kocaelispor

Standing#10

Elo rating1428

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LDLDD

Expected goals0.85

Match context to watch
Relegation pressureDraw closeLate-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Draw at 37.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 71.6%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.20%)
  • BTTSNo · 56.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 68.4%

1X2 probabilities

Antalyaspor33.8%
Draw37.9%
Kocaelispor28.4%

Main pickDraw37.9%

Confidence18.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Antalyaspor1.51
Expected total2.37
Kocaelispor0.85
31.6%Over 2.5

Over 31.6% Under 68.4%

43.7%BTTS

Yes 43.7% No 56.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X71.6%
X266.2%
1262.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 014.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 112.1%
  3. Likely score 2 - 010.8%
  4. Likely score 0 - 09.4%
  5. Likely score 2 - 19.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Antalyaspor 42.6%Kocaelispor 22%

Draw no bet

Antalyaspor 54.3%Kocaelispor 45.7%

Win to nil

Antalyaspor 33.3%Kocaelispor 12.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Antalyaspor 27.3%Kocaelispor 6.8%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionIncorrect

Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

The model sees an open match and gives Draw a slight edge at 37.9%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (14.20%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 43.7% and BTTS No at 56.3%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 71.6%, without being certain.

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Süper Lig

What the data says about Antalyaspor vs Kocaelispor

This Süper Lig fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Antalyaspor sits 16th and Kocaelispor 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1372 for Antalyaspor and 1428 for Kocaelispor.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Antalyaspor and 20% for Kocaelispor. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Antalyaspor 33.8%, the draw 37.9% and Kocaelispor 28.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.51 xG against 0.85, for a combined 2.37.