Relative strengthAdvantage Olympiakos Piraeus
Prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras TripolisLWDWD13.8%Asteras Tripolis
26.1%Draw
60.1%Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos PiraeusWDWDLVERDICTModerate edge for Olympiakos Piraeus
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Olympiakos Piraeus has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Olympiakos Piraeus a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 86.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 76.7%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 86.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceVery high
Probabilities & verdict
Asteras Tripolis13.8%Draw26.1%
Olympiakos Piraeus60.1%Main pickOlympiakos Piraeus
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence76.7%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 86.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Olympiakos Piraeus | 81.3% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 73.8% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)0.80Asteras Tripolis
Total xG2.60
Expected goals (xG)1.80Olympiakos Piraeus
Under 2.5 probability48.3%
BTTS No probability48.2%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 213.3%0 - 112.6%1 - 111.3%0 - 09.7%0 - 28.7%
Advanced scenarios
Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus16.1%
Clean sheet41.8%
6.4%
Win to nil32.1%
3%
Win by 2 goals or more32.6%
Team comparison
Asteras TripolisOlympiakos Piraeus11thCurrent position6th
1438Elo1699
LWDWDForm (last 5)WDWDL
1.0Goals scored / match (5)1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match (5)1.0
40.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
52.1%
52.1% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus?
The Foresportia model gives Olympiakos Piraeus a moderate edge at 60.1%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (13.32%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 51.8% and BTTS No at 48.2%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 86.2%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus
This Super League 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Asteras Tripolis sits 11th and Olympiakos Piraeus 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1438 for Asteras Tripolis and 1699 for Olympiakos Piraeus.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Asteras Tripolis and 53.3% for Olympiakos Piraeus. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Asteras Tripolis 13.8%, the draw 26.1% and Olympiakos Piraeus 60.1%. The expected-goals model projects 0.80 xG against 1.80, for a combined 2.60. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 13.3%.