US Lecce
Standing#17
Elo rating1418
Form index53.3%
Expected goals0.52
20:45
Genoa CFC
Standing#16
Elo rating1480
Form index33.3%
Expected goals1.31
Quick read
- Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Genoa CFC at 41.4%, so caution is advised.
- Confidence levelRisk
- Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 75.1%
- Likely score0 - 1 (21.04%)
- BTTSNo · 52.6%
- Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 61%
1X2 probabilities
Main pickGenoa CFC41.4%
Confidence49.8%
StabilityRisk
Expected goals and trends
Over 39% Under 61%
Yes 47.4% No 52.6%
Double chance
Available markets
Top 5 likely scores
- Likely score 0 - 1 — 21%
- Likely score 0 - 0 — 16%
- Likely score 0 - 2 — 13.8%
- Likely score 1 - 1 — 10.9%
- Likely score 1 - 0 — 8.3%
Advanced scenarios
Clean sheet
Draw no bet
Win to nil
Win by 2+ goals
Verified predictionIncorrect
US Lecce vs Genoa CFC prediction FAQ
What is the prediction for US Lecce vs Genoa CFC?
The model sees an open match and gives Genoa CFC a slight edge at 41.4%; caution is appropriate.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (21.04%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 47.4% and BTTS No at 52.6%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 75.1%, without being certain.
More football tools and analysis
Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.
Serie A
What the data says about US Lecce vs Genoa CFC
This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.
Before kick-off, US Lecce sits 17th and Genoa CFC 16th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1418 for US Lecce and 1480 for Genoa CFC.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for US Lecce and 33.3% for Genoa CFC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
The 1X2 projection gives US Lecce 24.9%, the draw 33.8% and Genoa CFC 41.4%. The expected-goals model projects 0.52 xG against 1.31, for a combined 1.83.