Serie A · Full time

Prediction for Parma Calcio 1913 vs US Sassuolo

Serie A AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Parma Calcio 1913

Standing#13

Elo rating1450

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LLLWW

Expected goals1.30

Full time1 - 0May 24, 2026
15:00

US Sassuolo

Standing#11

Elo rating1537

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LLWDW

Expected goals1.19

Match context to watch
Late-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for US Sassuolo at 38.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68.3%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.83%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.3%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.7%

1X2 probabilities

Parma Calcio 191331.7%
Draw29.4%
US Sassuolo38.9%

Main pickUS Sassuolo38.9%

Confidence32%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Parma Calcio 19131.30
Expected total2.49
US Sassuolo1.19
52.7%Over 2.5

Over 52.7% Under 47.3%

57.3%BTTS

Yes 57.3% No 42.7%

Double chance

Available markets

1X61.1%
X268.3%
1270.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 112.8%
  2. Likely score 1 - 010.8%
  3. Likely score 0 - 19.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 18.3%
  5. Likely score 0 - 08.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Parma Calcio 1913 30.5%US Sassuolo 27.3%

Draw no bet

Parma Calcio 1913 44.9%US Sassuolo 55.1%

Win to nil

Parma Calcio 1913 22.3%US Sassuolo 19.2%

Win by 2+ goals

Parma Calcio 1913 17.5%US Sassuolo 14.1%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 0

Verified predictionIncorrect

Parma Calcio 1913 vs US Sassuolo prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Parma Calcio 1913 vs US Sassuolo?

The model sees an open match and gives US Sassuolo a slight edge at 38.9%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (12.83%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.3% and BTTS No at 42.7%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 68.3%, without being certain.

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Serie A

What the data says about Parma Calcio 1913 vs US Sassuolo

This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.

Before kick-off, Parma Calcio 1913 sits 13th and US Sassuolo 11th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1450 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 1537 for US Sassuolo.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Parma Calcio 1913 and 46.7% for US Sassuolo. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Parma Calcio 1913 31.7%, the draw 29.4% and US Sassuolo 38.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.30 xG against 1.19, for a combined 2.49.