Serie A · Full time

Prediction for AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio

Serie A AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

AC Milan

Standing#5

Elo rating1614

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLLDW

Expected goals1.89

Full time1 - 2May 24, 2026
20:45

Cagliari Calcio

Standing#14

Elo rating1430

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
WLDWL

Expected goals0.82

Match context to watch
Late-season context

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for AC Milan at 62.9%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 86.4%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (12.56%)
  • BTTSYes · 53.5%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.9%

1X2 probabilities

AC Milan62.9%
Draw23.4%
Cagliari Calcio13.6%

Main pickAC Milan62.9%

Confidence81.8%

StabilityStable

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Expected goals and trends

AC Milan1.89
Expected total2.71
Cagliari Calcio0.82
56.9%Over 2.5

Over 56.9% Under 43.1%

53.5%BTTS

Yes 53.5% No 46.5%

Double chance

Available markets

1X86.4%
X237.1%
1276.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 012.6%
  2. Likely score 2 - 011.9%
  3. Likely score 1 - 110.3%
  4. Likely score 2 - 19.8%
  5. Likely score 3 - 07.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

AC Milan 44.2%Cagliari Calcio 15%

Draw no bet

AC Milan 82.2%Cagliari Calcio 17.8%

Win to nil

AC Milan 37.7%Cagliari Calcio 8.5%

Win by 2+ goals

AC Milan 37.6%Cagliari Calcio 4.7%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 2

Verified predictionIncorrect

AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio?

The model gives AC Milan the edge at 62.9%, with no certainty about the final result.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 0 (12.56%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 53.5% and BTTS No at 46.5%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 86.4%, without being certain.

Advertising placement — local preview, ads hidden for this account

Serie A

What the data says about AC Milan vs Cagliari Calcio

This Serie A fixture places added weight on tactical balance, defensive control and the precision needed to decide a tight match.

Before kick-off, AC Milan sits 5th and Cagliari Calcio 14th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1614 for AC Milan and 1430 for Cagliari Calcio.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for AC Milan and 46.7% for Cagliari Calcio. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives AC Milan 62.9%, the draw 23.4% and Cagliari Calcio 13.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.89 xG against 0.82, for a combined 2.71.