Liga Portugal 2 · Full time

UD Leiria vs SL Benfica B: final result and verified AI prediction

Liga Portugal 2 AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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UD Leiria

Standing#16

Elo rating1498

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LDLLL

Pre-match projected goals1.87

Full time1 - 2

SL Benfica B

Standing#2

Elo rating1500

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
WLLWL

Pre-match projected goals0.97

Post-match · Confirmed result1 - 2

Prediction review

Main pick
UD Leiria
Pick result
Incorrect
Published probability
39.6%
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5
Not in the published pre-match top 5

Verified pre-match markets

  • BTTS Yes52.4%Correct
  • Under 2.5 goals50.3%Incorrect
  • Double chance 1272.5%Correct
Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for UD Leiria at 39.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 67.1%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (10.66%)
  • BTTSYes · 52.4%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 50.3%

Published pre-match 1X2 probabilities

UD Leiria39.6%
Draw27.4%
SL Benfica B32.9%

Published pre-match predictionUD Leiria39.6%

Confidence50%

StabilityRisk

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Pre-match projected goals and trends

UD Leiria1.87
Pre-match projected total2.84
SL Benfica B0.97
49.7%Over 2.5

Over 49.7% Under 50.3%

52.4%BTTS

Yes 52.4% No 47.6%

Double chance

Available markets

1X67.1%
X260.4%
1272.5%

Pre-match top 5 likely scores

  1. Pre-match likely score 1 - 110.7%
  2. Pre-match likely score 1 - 010.3%
  3. Pre-match likely score 0 - 09.7%
  4. Pre-match likely score 0 - 19.1%
  5. Pre-match likely score 2 - 18.8%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

UD Leiria 30.6%SL Benfica B 26.7%

Draw no bet

UD Leiria 54.6%SL Benfica B 45.4%

Win by 2+ goals

UD Leiria 18%SL Benfica B 13.4%

UD Leiria vs SL Benfica B prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for UD Leiria vs SL Benfica B?

The model sees an open match and gives UD Leiria a slight edge at 39.6%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (10.66%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 52.4% and BTTS No at 47.6%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 67.1%, without being certain.

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Liga Portugal 2

What the data says about UD Leiria vs SL Benfica B

This Liga Portugal 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, UD Leiria sits 16th and SL Benfica B 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1498 for UD Leiria and 1500 for SL Benfica B.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for UD Leiria and 40% for SL Benfica B. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives UD Leiria 39.6%, the draw 27.4% and SL Benfica B 32.9%. Before the match, the model projected 1.87 xG against 0.97, for a combined 2.84.