Premiership · Scheduled

First AI projection for ST Mirren vs Motherwell

First AI projection for this Premiership fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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ST Mirren

Standing#2

Elo rating1468

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WWWDD

Expected goals1.14

ScheduledVS

Motherwell

Standing#3

Elo rating1580

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
DWWLD

Expected goals1.24

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy scheduleEuropean fixture nearby

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Motherwell at 36%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 68.8%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.76%)
  • BTTSYes · 54%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

ST Mirren31.1%
Draw32.8%
Motherwell36%

Main pickMotherwell36%

Confidence17.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

ST Mirren1.14
Expected total2.38
Motherwell1.24
47.2%Over 2.5

Over 47.2% Under 52.8%

54%BTTS

Yes 54% No 46%

Double chance

Available markets

1X64%
X268.8%
1267.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 112.8%
  2. Likely score 0 - 012.3%
  3. Likely score 1 - 211%
  4. Likely score 0 - 110.2%
  5. Likely score 2 - 110%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

ST Mirren 27.8%Motherwell 30.5%

Draw no bet

ST Mirren 46.4%Motherwell 53.6%

Win to nil

ST Mirren 15.5%Motherwell 18.2%

Win by 2+ goals

ST Mirren 10.9%Motherwell 13.8%

ST Mirren vs Motherwell early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about ST Mirren vs Motherwell?

The early estimate gives Motherwell a slight edge at 36%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.76%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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Premiership

What the data says about ST Mirren vs Motherwell

This Premiership fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, ST Mirren sits 2nd and Motherwell 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1468 for ST Mirren and 1580 for Motherwell.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for ST Mirren and 53.3% for Motherwell. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives ST Mirren 31.1%, the draw 32.8% and Motherwell 36%. The expected-goals model projects 1.14 xG against 1.24, for a combined 2.38.