Premiership · Scheduled

First AI projection for Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

First AI projection for this Premiership fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Aberdeen

Standing#8

Elo rating1430

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LWLLW

Expected goals1.39

ScheduledVS

Kilmarnock

Standing#12

Elo rating1461

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
LLWWW

Expected goals1.14

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Aberdeen at 40.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 71.3%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.33%)
  • BTTSYes · 56.6%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50.8%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Aberdeen40.5%
Draw30.8%
Kilmarnock28.7%

Main pickAberdeen40.5%

Confidence47.1%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Aberdeen1.39
Expected total2.54
Kilmarnock1.14
50.8%Over 2.5

Over 50.8% Under 49.2%

56.6%BTTS

Yes 56.6% No 43.4%

Double chance

Available markets

1X71.3%
X259.5%
1269.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.3%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 10.5%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10%
  5. Likely score 1 - 2 — 9.3%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Aberdeen 30.1%Kilmarnock 23.9%

Draw no bet

Aberdeen 58.5%Kilmarnock 41.5%

Win to nil

Aberdeen 19.6%Kilmarnock 13.3%

Win by 2+ goals

Aberdeen 17.3%Kilmarnock 9.9%

Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock?

The early estimate gives Aberdeen a slight edge at 40.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.33%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Premiership

What the data says about Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

This Premiership fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Aberdeen sits 8th and Kilmarnock 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1430 for Aberdeen and 1461 for Kilmarnock.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for Aberdeen and 60% for Kilmarnock. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Aberdeen 40.5%, the draw 30.8% and Kilmarnock 28.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.39 xG against 1.14, for a combined 2.54.