Relative strengthAdvantage Deportes Limache
First AI projection for Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache
Union La CaleraLDLLL29%Union La Calera
28.8%Draw
42.3%Deportes Limache
Deportes LimacheWLWLWVERDICTDeportes Limache slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Deportes Limache has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Deportes Limache a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 71%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 46.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 71%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Deportes Limache
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Union La Calera29%Draw28.8%
Deportes Limache42.3%Main pickDeportes Limache
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence46.4%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 71.2% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Deportes Limache | 59.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 74.2% | Solid |
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.21Union La Calera
Total xG2.71
Expected goals (xG)1.50Deportes Limache
Under 2.5 probability45.5%
BTTS No probability42%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 211.4%1 - 111.1%0 - 19.4%0 - 09%2 - 18.9%
Advanced scenarios
Union La CaleraDeportes Limache22%
Clean sheet29%
13%
Win to nil20%
10.7%
Win by 2 goals or more19.5%
Team comparison
Union La CaleraDeportes Limache16thCurrent position7th
1383Elo1513
LDLLLForm (last 5)WLWLW
0.4Goals scored / match (5)1.8
1.8Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
42.5%
42.5% correct predictions
over 40 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache?
The Foresportia model gives Deportes Limache a slight edge at 42.3%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (11.38%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Union La Calera vs Deportes Limache
This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Union La Calera sits 16th and Deportes Limache 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1383 for Union La Calera and 1513 for Deportes Limache.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for Union La Calera and 60% for Deportes Limache. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Union La Calera 29%, the draw 28.8% and Deportes Limache 42.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.21 xG against 1.50, for a combined 2.71. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 11.4%.