Relative strengthAdvantage D. La Serena
Union La Calera vs D. La Serena: final result and verified AI prediction
Union La CaleraDLLLD38.9%Union La Calera
29.9%Draw
31.2%D. La Serena
D. La SerenaDWDLDVERDICTIncorrect
The Foresportia prediction shown on this page was published before the match and is compared with the final result. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 36.3%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 68.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Prediction review
Post-match · Confirmed result0 - 1
Published probability38.9%
Pick resultIncorrect
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5Not in the published pre-match top 5
Verified pre-match markets
BTTS Yes58.1%Incorrect
Over 2.5 goals53.2%Incorrect
Double chance 1270.1%Correct
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage D. La Serena
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Published pre-match projection
Union La Calera38.9%Draw29.9%
D. La Serena31.2%Published pre-match predictionUnion La Calera
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence36.3%
Verified pre-match markets
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 70.1% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Union La Calera | 55.5% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 53.2% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 73.5% | Solid |
What the model projected
Pre-match projected goals1.84Union La Calera
Total xG3.78
Pre-match projected goals1.94D. La Serena
Under 2.5 probability46.8%
BTTS No probability41.9%
Pre-match top 5 likely scores
1 - 111.8%2 - 111.2%1 - 29.7%0 - 09.6%1 - 09.2%
Advanced scenarios
Union La CaleraD. La Serena27.7%
Clean sheet23.7%
16.7%
Win by 2 goals or more11.6%
Pre-match comparison
Union La CaleraD. La Serena16thCurrent position10th
1409Elo1503
DLLLDForm (last 5)DWDLD
0.6Goals scored / match (5)2.0
1.8Goals conceded / match (5)1.8
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
42.5%
42.5% correct predictions
over 40 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
The model gives Union La Calera a slight edge at 38.9%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.76%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.1% and BTTS No at 41.9%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 68.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Union La Calera vs D. La Serena
This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Union La Calera sits 16th and D. La Serena 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1409 for Union La Calera and 1503 for D. La Serena.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 13.3% for Union La Calera and 40% for D. La Serena. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
Before the match, Foresportia's analysis estimated that the 1X2 probabilities gave Union La Calera 38.9%, the draw 29.9% and D. La Serena 31.2%. Before the match, the model projected 1.84 xG against 1.94, for a combined 3.78. Before the match, the most likely score according to Foresportia was 1–1 at 11.8%.