Relative strengthSlight edge for Everton de Vina
Prediction for Nublense vs Everton de Vina
NublenseLLWWD35%Nublense
31.1%Draw
34%Everton de Vina
Everton de VinaLWWDWVERDICTVery balanced match
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Nublense has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The 1X2 probabilities are very close and do not identify a clear favourite. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 66%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 32.3%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 66%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Everton de Vina
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Nublense35%Draw31.1%
Everton de Vina34%Main pickNublense
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence32.3%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 68.9% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Nublense | 50.7% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.5% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 75.8% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.25Nublense
Total xG2.49
Expected goals (xG)1.23Everton de Vina
Under 2.5 probability50.5%
BTTS No probability45.5%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 111.7%0 - 011.2%2 - 110.2%1 - 210%1 - 09.6%
Advanced scenarios
NublenseEverton de Vina28.6%
Clean sheet28.1%
17.5%
Win to nil16.9%
13.8%
Win by 2 goals or more13.2%
Team comparison
NublenseEverton de Vina6thCurrent position4th
1522Elo1551
LLWWDForm (last 5)LWWDW
1.2Goals scored / match (5)2.2
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)0.8
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
42.5%
42.5% correct predictions
over 40 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Everton de Vina?
The Foresportia model sees a very balanced match. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.70%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 54.5% and BTTS No at 45.5%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 66%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Nublense vs Everton de Vina
This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Nublense sits 6th and Everton de Vina 4th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1522 for Nublense and 1551 for Everton de Vina.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Nublense and 66.7% for Everton de Vina. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Nublense 35%, the draw 31.1% and Everton de Vina 34%. The expected-goals model projects 1.25 xG against 1.23, for a combined 2.49. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–1 at 11.7%.