Relative strengthSlight edge for U. Catolica
Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica: final result and verified AI prediction
Everton de VinaWWDWL27.2%Everton de Vina
28.6%Draw
44.2%U. Catolica
U. CatolicaWWLWLVERDICTCorrect
The Foresportia prediction shown on this page was published before the match and is compared with the final result. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 47.2%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 72.8%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Prediction review
Post-match · Confirmed result0 - 1
Published probability44.2%
Pick resultCorrect
Final-score rank in pre-match top 5#3
Verified pre-match markets
BTTS Yes58.1%Incorrect
Over 2.5 goals55.3%Incorrect
Double chance X272.8%Correct
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Published pre-match projection
Everton de Vina27.2%Draw28.6%
U. Catolica44.2%Published pre-match predictionU. Catolica
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence47.2%
Verified pre-match markets
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 72.8% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | U. Catolica | 61.9% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 55.3% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 74.2% | Solid |
What the model projected
Pre-match projected goals1.34Everton de Vina
Total xG3.24
Pre-match projected goals1.90U. Catolica
Under 2.5 probability44.7%
BTTS No probability41.9%
Pre-match top 5 likely scores
1 - 211.8%1 - 110.8%0 - 19.5%0 - 08.9%2 - 18.6%
Advanced scenarios
Everton de VinaU. Catolica20.9%
Clean sheet29.9%
9.7%
Win by 2 goals or more21.1%
Pre-match comparison
Everton de VinaU. Catolica4thCurrent position2nd
1566Elo1636
WWDWLForm (last 5)WWLWL
2.8Goals scored / match (5)1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
42.5%
42.5% correct predictions
over 40 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica?
The model gives U. Catolica a slight edge at 44.2%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (11.79%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58.1% and BTTS No at 41.9%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 72.8%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Everton de Vina vs U. Catolica
This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Everton de Vina sits 4th and U. Catolica 2nd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1566 for Everton de Vina and 1636 for U. Catolica.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 66.7% for Everton de Vina and 60% for U. Catolica. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
Before the match, Foresportia's analysis estimated that the 1X2 probabilities gave Everton de Vina 27.2%, the draw 28.6% and U. Catolica 44.2%. Before the match, the model projected 1.34 xG against 1.90, for a combined 3.24. Before the match, the most likely score according to Foresportia was 1–2 at 11.8%.