Relative strengthBalanced
Prediction for D. La Serena vs Nublense
D. La SerenaWDWDL29.3%D. La Serena
29%Draw
41.7%Nublense
NublenseLLWWDVERDICTNublense slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Nublense has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Nublense a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 70.7%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 45.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 70.7%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
D. La Serena29.3%Draw29%
Nublense41.7%Main pickNublense
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence45.9%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 71% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Nublense | 58.7% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 54% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 73.7% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.21D. La Serena
Total xG2.69
Expected goals (xG)1.48Nublense
Under 2.5 probability46%
BTTS No probability42.4%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 211.3%1 - 111.1%0 - 19.5%0 - 09.2%2 - 19%
Advanced scenarios
D. La SerenaNublense22.5%
Clean sheet29.1%
13.3%
Win to nil19.9%
10.8%
Win by 2 goals or more19.1%
Team comparison
D. La SerenaNublense10thCurrent position6th
1529Elo1522
WDWDLForm (last 5)LLWWD
1.6Goals scored / match (5)1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match (5)1.4
40.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
42.5%
42.5% correct predictions
over 40 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Nublense?
The Foresportia model gives Nublense a slight edge at 41.7%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 2 (11.29%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.6% and BTTS No at 42.4%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 70.7%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about D. La Serena vs Nublense
This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, D. La Serena sits 10th and Nublense 6th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1529 for D. La Serena and 1522 for Nublense.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for D. La Serena and 46.7% for Nublense. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives D. La Serena 29.3%, the draw 29% and Nublense 41.7%. The expected-goals model projects 1.21 xG against 1.48, for a combined 2.69. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 11.3%.