Chilean Primera División · Matchday 21 · Season 2026 · ScheduledCoquimbo

Prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato

Coquimbo UnidoLDDLD
1X2 PREDICTION BALANCE
49.2%Coquimbo Unido
29.4%Draw
21.4%Huachipato
HuachipatoLLLLD
VERDICTCoquimbo Unido slight favourite

Foresportia's analysis estimates that Coquimbo Unido has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Coquimbo Unido a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 78.6%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.

1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 51.2%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 78.6%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.

Why the model sees it this way

Relative strengthAdvantage Coquimbo Unido
Recent formSlight edge for Coquimbo Unido
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate

Probabilities & verdict

Coquimbo Unido49.2%
Draw29.4%
Huachipato21.4%

Main pickCoquimbo Unido

1X2 STABILITYRisk

Model confidence51.2%

1X2 alternatives

1X2 alternatives
MarketPickProbabilityReading
Double chance1X78.6%Most robust signal
Draw no betCoquimbo Unido69.7%Solid
Total goalsOver 2.550.4%Neutral
Both teams to scoreYes54.4%Neutral
Total goalsUnder 3.575.1%Solid
View all markets →

How the match could unfold

Expected goals (xG)1.56Coquimbo Unido

Expected goals (xG)0.97Huachipato

Under 2.5 probability49.6%

BTTS No probability45.6%

Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.6%1 - 112%1 - 011.5%0 - 010.5%1 - 27.2%

Advanced scenarios

Coquimbo UnidoHuachipato
35.7%
Clean sheet
20.5%
25.2%
Win to nil
9.9%
23.6%
Win by 2 goals or more
6.1%
Learn more about our scenarios →

Team comparison

Coquimbo UnidoHuachipato
9thCurrent position12th
1582Elo1429
LDDLDForm (last 5)LLLLD
0.8Goals scored / match (5)1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match (5)3.4
20.0Clean sheets (5)0.0
View the detailed comparison ›

Prediction reliability

Risk profile

This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.

HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
47.1%

47.1% correct predictions
over 34 verified matches

Learn more about our methodology →
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE55%35%15%071420273447.1%Number of matches

What the data says about Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato

This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Coquimbo Unido sits 9th and Huachipato 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1582 for Coquimbo Unido and 1429 for Huachipato.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Coquimbo Unido and 6.7% for Huachipato. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Coquimbo Unido 49.2%, the draw 29.4% and Huachipato 21.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.56 xG against 0.97, for a combined 2.53. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.6%.