Relative strengthAdvantage Coquimbo Unido
Prediction for Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido
CobresalWDLLW29.4%Cobresal
29.8%Draw
40.8%Coquimbo Unido
Coquimbo UnidoLWLDDVERDICTCoquimbo Unido slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Coquimbo Unido has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Coquimbo Unido a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 70.6%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 44.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 70.6%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formSlight edge for Cobresal
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Cobresal29.4%Draw29.8%
Coquimbo Unido40.8%Main pickCoquimbo Unido
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence44.4%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 70.6% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Coquimbo Unido | 58.1% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 52.2% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 73.4% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.18Cobresal
Total xG2.60
Expected goals (xG)1.43Coquimbo Unido
Under 2.5 probability47.8%
BTTS No probability43.7%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 111.4%1 - 211.2%0 - 09.9%0 - 19.8%2 - 19.1%
Advanced scenarios
CobresalCoquimbo Unido23.7%
Clean sheet29.9%
13.8%
Win to nil20%
10.7%
Win by 2 goals or more18.2%
Team comparison
CobresalCoquimbo Unido15thCurrent position9th
1464Elo1593
WDLLWForm (last 5)LWLDD
1.8Goals scored / match (5)1.2
1.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
40.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
42.5%
42.5% correct predictions
over 40 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido?
The Foresportia model gives Coquimbo Unido a slight edge at 40.8%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.36%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 56.3% and BTTS No at 43.7%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 70.6%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido
This Chilean Primera División fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Cobresal sits 15th and Coquimbo Unido 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1464 for Cobresal and 1593 for Coquimbo Unido.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Cobresal and 33.3% for Coquimbo Unido. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Cobresal 29.4%, the draw 29.8% and Coquimbo Unido 40.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.18 xG against 1.43, for a combined 2.60. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–1 at 11.4%.