Ligue 2 · Scheduled

First AI projection for Montpellier Hérault SC vs Pau FC

First AI projection for this Ligue 2 fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

Follow Montpellier Hérault SC vs Pau FC and today's matchesAll Ligue 2 predictions
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Montpellier Hérault SC

Standing#5

Elo rating1522

Form index53.3%

Last 5 matches
WDDLW

Expected goals1.40

ScheduledVS

Pau FC

Standing#9

Elo rating1430

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
WLLLL

Expected goals0.84

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Montpellier Hérault SC at 48.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 79%
  • Likely score1 - 0 (14.04%)
  • BTTSNo · 53.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 58%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Montpellier Hérault SC48.6%
Draw30.4%
Pau FC21%

Main pickMontpellier Hérault SC48.6%

Confidence66.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Montpellier Hérault SC1.40
Expected total2.25
Pau FC0.84
42%Over 2.5

Over 42% Under 58%

46.8%BTTS

Yes 46.8% No 53.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X79%
X251.4%
1269.6%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 0 — 14%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.7%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 12.6%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.1%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 8.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Montpellier Hérault SC 41.5%Pau FC 24.2%

Draw no bet

Montpellier Hérault SC 69.8%Pau FC 30.2%

Win to nil

Montpellier Hérault SC 28.9%Pau FC 11.7%

Win by 2+ goals

Montpellier Hérault SC 22.4%Pau FC 5.7%

Montpellier Hérault SC vs Pau FC early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Montpellier Hérault SC vs Pau FC?

The early estimate gives Montpellier Hérault SC a slight edge at 48.6%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 0 (14.04%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Ligue 2

What the data says about Montpellier Hérault SC vs Pau FC

This Ligue 2 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Montpellier Hérault SC sits 5th and Pau FC 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1522 for Montpellier Hérault SC and 1430 for Pau FC.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Montpellier Hérault SC and 20% for Pau FC. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Montpellier Hérault SC 48.6%, the draw 30.4% and Pau FC 21%. The expected-goals model projects 1.40 xG against 0.84, for a combined 2.25.