Liga MX · Full time

Prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul

Liga MX AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Standing#1

Elo rating1577

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
DWLDD

Expected goals1.97

Full time1 - 2May 25, 2026
03:00

Cruz Azul

Standing#3

Elo rating1562

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
DWDWW

Expected goals1.50

Match context to watch
Draw closeLine-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Cruz Azul at 35.6%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 66.7%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (9.20%)
  • BTTSYes · 55.2%
  • Over/Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%

1X2 probabilities

U.N.A.M. - Pumas33.3%
Draw31.1%
Cruz Azul35.6%

Main pickCruz Azul35.6%

Confidence5.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.97
Expected total3.47
Cruz Azul1.50
49%Over 2.5

Over 49% Under 51%

55.2%BTTS

Yes 55.2% No 44.8%

Double chance

Available markets

1X64.4%
X266.7%
1268.9%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 19.2%
  2. Likely score 2 - 19.1%
  3. Likely score 1 - 26.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 26.8%
  5. Likely score 1 - 06.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 22.4%Cruz Azul 13.9%

Draw no bet

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 48.3%Cruz Azul 51.7%

Win to nil

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 19.3%Cruz Azul 10.8%

Win by 2+ goals

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 27.9%Cruz Azul 13.5%
Post-match review · Final score1 - 2

Verified predictionCorrect

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

The model sees an open match and gives Cruz Azul a slight edge at 35.6%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (9.20%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 55.2% and BTTS No at 44.8%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 66.7%, without being certain.

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Liga MX

What the data says about U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, U.N.A.M. - Pumas sits 1st and Cruz Azul 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1577 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 1562 for Cruz Azul.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas and 73.3% for Cruz Azul. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives U.N.A.M. - Pumas 33.3%, the draw 31.1% and Cruz Azul 35.6%. The expected-goals model projects 1.97 xG against 1.50, for a combined 3.47.