Liga MX · Scheduled

First AI projection for Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

First AI projection for this Liga MX fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Toluca

Standing—

Elo rating1462

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLWLL

Expected goals1.50

ScheduledVSJuly 22, 2026
05:00

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Standing—

Elo rating1558

Form index33.3%

Last 5 matches
LDWLD

Expected goals1.20

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Toluca at 46.9%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 75.8%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.12%)
  • BTTSYes · 56.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Toluca46.9%
Draw28.8%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas24.2%

Main pickToluca46.9%

Confidence49.9%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Toluca1.50
Expected total2.69
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.20
53.2%Over 2.5

Over 53.2% Under 46.8%

56.7%BTTS

Yes 56.7% No 43.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X75.8%
X253.1%
1271.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.1%
  3. Likely score 2 - 1 — 9.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 1 — 8.1%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.6%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Toluca 30.2%U.N.A.M. - Pumas 22.4%

Draw no bet

Toluca 65.9%U.N.A.M. - Pumas 34.1%

Win to nil

Toluca 23.4%U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Toluca 21.8%U.N.A.M. - Pumas 12.5%

Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?

The early estimate gives Toluca a slight edge at 46.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 1 (12.12%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga MX

What the data says about Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Toluca and 33.3% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Toluca 46.9%, the draw 28.8% and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 24.2%. The expected-goals model projects 1.50 xG against 1.20, for a combined 2.69.