Liga MX · Scheduled

First AI projection for Toluca vs FC Juarez

First AI projection for this Liga MX fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Toluca

Standing#3

Elo rating1592

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLWL

Expected goals1.91

ScheduledVS

FC Juarez

Standing#18

Elo rating1395

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
LLLLW

Expected goals0.92

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Toluca at 59.9%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelCorrect
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 84.5%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (13.16%)
  • BTTSYes · 57%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.7%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Toluca59.9%
Draw24.5%
FC Juarez15.5%

Main pickToluca59.9%

Confidence67.6%

StabilityCorrect

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Expected goals and trends

Toluca1.91
Expected total2.83
FC Juarez0.92
56.7%Over 2.5

Over 56.7% Under 43.3%

57%BTTS

Yes 57% No 43%

Double chance

Available markets

1X84.5%
X240.1%
1275.5%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 1 — 13.2%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.1%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.7%
  4. Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.9%
  5. Likely score 0 - 0 — 7.7%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Toluca 36.5%FC Juarez 14.2%

Draw no bet

Toluca 79.4%FC Juarez 20.6%

Win to nil

Toluca 28.8%FC Juarez 6.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Toluca 33.2%FC Juarez 3.9%

Toluca vs FC Juarez early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Toluca vs FC Juarez?

The early estimate gives Toluca a slight edge at 59.9%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (13.16%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga MX

What the data says about Toluca vs FC Juarez

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Toluca sits 3rd and FC Juarez 18th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1592 for Toluca and 1395 for FC Juarez.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Toluca and 20% for FC Juarez. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Toluca 59.9%, the draw 24.5% and FC Juarez 15.5%. The expected-goals model projects 1.91 xG against 0.92, for a combined 2.83.