Liga MX · Scheduled

First AI projection for Toluca vs Atlas

First AI projection for this Liga MX fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Toluca

Standing#3

Elo rating1592

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLWL

Expected goals1.70

ScheduledVS

Atlas

Standing#9

Elo rating1466

Form index40%

Last 5 matches
LWWLL

Expected goals0.96

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy scheduleRanking / model conflict

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Toluca at 53.4%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 81%
  • Likely score2 - 1 (13.07%)
  • BTTSYes · 56%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53.2%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Toluca53.4%
Draw27.6%
Atlas19%

Main pickToluca53.4%

Confidence59.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Toluca1.70
Expected total2.66
Atlas0.96
53.2%Over 2.5

Over 53.2% Under 46.8%

56%BTTS

Yes 56% No 44%

Double chance

Available markets

1X81%
X246.6%
1272.4%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 1 — 13.1%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.8%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 11.1%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 9.3%
  5. Likely score 2 - 0 — 7.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Toluca 35.6%Atlas 17.6%

Draw no bet

Toluca 73.7%Atlas 26.3%

Win to nil

Toluca 26.3%Atlas 8.3%

Win by 2+ goals

Toluca 27.2%Atlas 5.2%

Toluca vs Atlas early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Toluca vs Atlas?

The early estimate gives Toluca a slight edge at 53.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (13.07%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga MX

What the data says about Toluca vs Atlas

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Toluca sits 3rd and Atlas 9th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1592 for Toluca and 1466 for Atlas.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Toluca and 40% for Atlas. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Toluca 53.4%, the draw 27.6% and Atlas 19%. The expected-goals model projects 1.70 xG against 0.96, for a combined 2.66.