Liga MX · Scheduled

First AI projection for Puebla vs Toluca

First AI projection for this Liga MX fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Puebla

Standing#11

Elo rating1383

Form index26.7%

Last 5 matches
DLWLL

Expected goals0.99

ScheduledVS

Toluca

Standing#3

Elo rating1592

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
DWLWL

Expected goals1.81

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Toluca at 55.5%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 81.4%
  • Likely score1 - 2 (12.97%)
  • BTTSYes · 58.1%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 56.3%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Puebla18.6%
Draw25.9%
Toluca55.5%

Main pickToluca55.5%

Confidence39.4%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Puebla0.99
Expected total2.80
Toluca1.81
56.3%Over 2.5

Over 56.3% Under 43.7%

58.1%BTTS

Yes 58.1% No 41.9%

Double chance

Available markets

1X44.5%
X281.4%
1274.1%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 2 — 13%
  2. Likely score 1 - 1 — 11.4%
  3. Likely score 0 - 1 — 10.3%
  4. Likely score 0 - 0 — 8%
  5. Likely score 0 - 2 — 7.2%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Puebla 15.7%Toluca 34.1%

Draw no bet

Puebla 25.1%Toluca 74.9%

Win to nil

Puebla 7.7%Toluca 26.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Puebla 5.2%Toluca 29.5%

Puebla vs Toluca early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Puebla vs Toluca?

The early estimate gives Toluca a slight edge at 55.5%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (12.97%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga MX

What the data says about Puebla vs Toluca

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Puebla sits 11th and Toluca 3rd in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1383 for Puebla and 1592 for Toluca.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 26.7% for Puebla and 46.7% for Toluca. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Puebla 18.6%, the draw 25.9% and Toluca 55.5%. The expected-goals model projects 0.99 xG against 1.81, for a combined 2.80.