Liga MX · Scheduled

Prediction for Necaxa vs Leon

Liga MX AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

Follow Necaxa vs Leon and today's matchesAll Liga MX predictions
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Necaxa

Standing#8

Elo rating1469

Form index46.7%

Last 5 matches
LWWLD

Expected goals1.40

ScheduledVS

Leon

Standing#14

Elo rating1427

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
WLLLL

Expected goals1.19

Match context to watch
Draw close

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Necaxa at 39.7%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 70%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.46%)
  • BTTSYes · 57.8%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51.8%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Necaxa39.7%
Draw30.3%
Leon29.9%

Main pickNecaxa39.7%

Confidence24.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Necaxa1.40
Expected total2.59
Leon1.19
51.8%Over 2.5

Over 51.8% Under 48.2%

57.8%BTTS

Yes 57.8% No 42.2%

Double chance

Available markets

1X70%
X260.3%
1269.7%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 1 — 12.5%
  2. Likely score 2 - 1 — 11.4%
  3. Likely score 0 - 0 — 10%
  4. Likely score 1 - 0 — 9.5%
  5. Likely score 1 - 2 — 9.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Necaxa 28.6%Leon 23.6%

Draw no bet

Necaxa 57%Leon 43%

Win to nil

Necaxa 18.6%Leon 13.6%

Win by 2+ goals

Necaxa 16.8%Leon 10.7%

Necaxa vs Leon prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Necaxa vs Leon?

The model sees an open match and gives Necaxa a slight edge at 39.7%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (12.46%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.8% and BTTS No at 42.2%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance 1X stands at 70%, without being certain.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga MX

What the data says about Necaxa vs Leon

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Necaxa sits 8th and Leon 14th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1469 for Necaxa and 1427 for Leon.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Necaxa and 20% for Leon. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Necaxa 39.7%, the draw 30.3% and Leon 29.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.40 xG against 1.19, for a combined 2.59.