Liga MX · Scheduled

Prediction for Leon vs Monterrey

Liga MX AI analysis, 1X2 probabilities and likely score.

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Leon

Standing#14

Elo rating1427

Form index20%

Last 5 matches
WLLLL

Expected goals1.15

ScheduledVS

Monterrey

Standing#5

Elo rating1458

Form index60%

Last 5 matches
WWLWL

Expected goals1.47

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionOpen match; slight edge for Monterrey at 42.8%, so caution is advised.
  • Confidence levelRisk
  • Cautious marketDouble chance X2 · 72.5%
  • Likely score1 - 1 (12.39%)
  • BTTSYes · 58%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52.3%

1X2 probabilities

AI prediction updated with the latest available data.

Leon27.5%
Draw29.8%
Monterrey42.8%

Main pickMonterrey42.8%

Confidence25.5%

StabilityRisk

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Expected goals and trends

Leon1.15
Expected total2.62
Monterrey1.47
52.3%Over 2.5

Over 52.3% Under 47.7%

58%BTTS

Yes 58% No 42%

Double chance

Available markets

1X57.2%
X272.5%
1270.2%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 1 - 112.4%
  2. Likely score 1 - 211.9%
  3. Likely score 0 - 19.8%
  4. Likely score 0 - 09.7%
  5. Likely score 2 - 18.9%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Leon 21.9%Monterrey 29.8%

Draw no bet

Leon 39.1%Monterrey 60.9%

Win to nil

Leon 12.2%Monterrey 20.1%

Win by 2+ goals

Leon 9.3%Monterrey 19%

Leon vs Monterrey prediction FAQ

What is the prediction for Leon vs Monterrey?

The model sees an open match and gives Monterrey a slight edge at 42.8%; caution is appropriate.

What is the likely score?

The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (12.39%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.

Is BTTS likely?

The model estimates BTTS Yes at 58% and BTTS No at 42%.

Which market is the most cautious according to the model?

Double chance X2 stands at 72.5%, without being certain.

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Liga MX

What the data says about Leon vs Monterrey

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Before kick-off, Leon sits 14th and Monterrey 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1427 for Leon and 1458 for Monterrey.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 20% for Leon and 60% for Monterrey. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Leon 27.5%, the draw 29.8% and Monterrey 42.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.15 xG against 1.47, for a combined 2.62.