Liga MX · Scheduled

First AI projection for Cruz Azul vs Puebla

First AI projection for this Liga MX fixture. This early estimate may change closer to kick-off.

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Cruz Azul

Standing—

Elo rating1580

Form index73.3%

Last 5 matches
WDWDW

Expected goals2.55

ScheduledVSJuly 22, 2026
03:00

Puebla

Standing—

Elo rating1446

Form index6.7%

Last 5 matches
LLLLD

Expected goals0.60

Match context to watch
Line-ups to watchBusy schedule

Quick read

  • Main predictionEdge for Cruz Azul at 63.4%, with no guarantee of the outcome.
  • Confidence levelStable
  • Cautious marketDouble chance 1X · 87.4%
  • Likely score2 - 0 (13.90%)
  • BTTSYes · 51.7%
  • Over/Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55.4%

First AI projection

This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.

Cruz Azul63.4%
Draw24%
Puebla12.6%

Main pickCruz Azul63.4%

Confidence65.9%

StabilityStable

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Expected goals and trends

Cruz Azul2.55
Expected total3.15
Puebla0.60
55.4%Over 2.5

Over 55.4% Under 44.6%

51.7%BTTS

Yes 51.7% No 48.3%

Double chance

Available markets

1X87.4%
X236.6%
1276%

Top 5 likely scores

  1. Likely score 2 - 0 — 13.9%
  2. Likely score 3 - 0 — 11.8%
  3. Likely score 1 - 0 — 10.9%
  4. Likely score 2 - 1 — 8.4%
  5. Likely score 4 - 0 — 7.5%

Advanced scenarios

Clean sheet

Cruz Azul 54.8%Puebla 7.8%

Draw no bet

Cruz Azul 83.4%Puebla 16.6%

Win to nil

Cruz Azul 50.5%Puebla 3.5%

Win by 2+ goals

Cruz Azul 57.8%Puebla 1.5%

Cruz Azul vs Puebla early projection FAQ

What does the first AI projection say about Cruz Azul vs Puebla?

The early estimate gives Cruz Azul a slight edge at 63.4%. This probability may change before the match.

Why can this estimate change?

Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.

Is an early likely score available?

The first calculated scenario is 2 - 0 (13.90%), but this is an early estimate that may change.

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More football tools and analysis

Check today's matches and updated results, compare standings and team form, then explore more fixtures and AI analysis from this league.

Liga MX

What the data says about Cruz Azul vs Puebla

This Liga MX fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.

Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 73.3% for Cruz Azul and 6.7% for Puebla. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.

The 1X2 projection gives Cruz Azul 63.4%, the draw 24% and Puebla 12.6%. The expected-goals model projects 2.55 xG against 0.60, for a combined 3.15.