Relative strengthAdvantage Juan Pablo II College
Prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College
UTC CajamarcaLLLLD39.9%UTC Cajamarca
29.4%Draw
30.8%Juan Pablo II College
Juan Pablo II CollegeWWLDLVERDICTUTC Cajamarca slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that UTC Cajamarca has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give UTC Cajamarca a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 69.2%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 39.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 69.2%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Juan Pablo II College
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
UTC Cajamarca39.9%Draw29.4%
Juan Pablo II College30.8%Main pickUTC Cajamarca
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence39.5%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 70.6% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | UTC Cajamarca | 56.4% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 73.2% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.43UTC Cajamarca
Total xG2.66
Expected goals (xG)1.23Juan Pablo II College
Under 2.5 probability46.6%
BTTS No probability42.7%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 111.2%2 - 111%0 - 09.5%1 - 09.4%1 - 29.3%
Advanced scenarios
UTC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College28.5%
Clean sheet23.6%
19%
Win to nil14.2%
17.7%
Win by 2 goals or more11.6%
Team comparison
UTC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College18thCurrent position10th
1368Elo1465
LLLLDForm (last 5)WWLDL
1.2Goals scored / match (5)1.8
2.4Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
0.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College?
The Foresportia model gives UTC Cajamarca a slight edge at 39.9%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 1 - 1 (11.22%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 57.3% and BTTS No at 42.7%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance 1X stands at 69.2%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Pablo II College
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, UTC Cajamarca sits 18th and Juan Pablo II College 10th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1368 for UTC Cajamarca and 1465 for Juan Pablo II College.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 6.7% for UTC Cajamarca and 46.7% for Juan Pablo II College. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives UTC Cajamarca 39.9%, the draw 29.4% and Juan Pablo II College 30.8%. The expected-goals model projects 1.43 xG against 1.23, for a combined 2.66. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–1 at 11.2%.