Relative strengthBalanced
First AI projection for Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau
Sporting CristalLLWDW55.5%Sporting Cristal
27.2%Draw
17.3%Atletico Grau
Atletico GrauWWWDLVERDICTModerate edge for Sporting Cristal
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Sporting Cristal has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Sporting Cristal a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The more protective signal remains double chance 1X at 82.7%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYCorrect The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 60.4%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance 1X · 82.7%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Atletico Grau
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityModerate
Model confidenceHigh
Probabilities & verdict
Sporting Cristal55.5%Draw27.2%
Atletico Grau17.3%Main pickSporting Cristal
1X2 STABILITYCorrect
Model confidence60.4%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.7% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Sporting Cristal | 76.2% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 73.5% | Solid |
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.72Sporting Cristal
Total xG2.60
Expected goals (xG)0.88Atletico Grau
Under 2.5 probability48.1%
BTTS No probability47.8%
Top 5 likely scores
2 - 112.7%1 - 012.1%1 - 110.7%0 - 09.9%2 - 08%
Advanced scenarios
Sporting CristalAtletico Grau39.7%
Clean sheet18%
29.8%
Win to nil8.1%
29.5%
Win by 2 goals or more4.5%
Team comparison
Sporting CristalAtletico Grau9thCurrent position12th
1534Elo1514
LLWDWForm (last 5)WWWDL
1.6Goals scored / match (5)1.0
1.2Goals conceded / match (5)0.4
20.0Clean sheets (5)60.0
Prediction reliability
The signal has an intermediate stability level and should still be read alongside the match context.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCECorrect profile
91.7%
91.7% correct predictions
over 12 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau?
The Foresportia model gives Sporting Cristal a moderate edge at 55.5%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 2 - 1 (12.68%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Sporting Cristal vs Atletico Grau
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Sporting Cristal sits 9th and Atletico Grau 12th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1534 for Sporting Cristal and 1514 for Atletico Grau.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Sporting Cristal and 66.7% for Atletico Grau. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Sporting Cristal 55.5%, the draw 27.2% and Atletico Grau 17.3%. The expected-goals model projects 1.72 xG against 0.88, for a combined 2.60. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 2–1 at 12.7%.