Relative strengthAdvantage Deportivo Garcilaso
Prediction for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport BoysLWWDD29.1%Sport Boys
33%Draw
37.9%Deportivo Garcilaso
Deportivo GarcilasoWWDWWVERDICTVery balanced match
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Deportivo Garcilaso has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The 1X2 probabilities are very close and do not identify a clear favourite. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 70.9%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 32.3%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 70.9%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Deportivo Garcilaso
Goal profileRather low-scoring
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
Sport Boys29.1%Draw33%
Deportivo Garcilaso37.9%Main pickDeportivo Garcilaso
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence32.3%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 70.9% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Deportivo Garcilaso | 56.6% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 55.4% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 79.9% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.05Sport Boys
Total xG2.29
Expected goals (xG)1.24Deportivo Garcilaso
Under 2.5 probability55.4%
BTTS No probability49.5%
Top 5 likely scores
0 - 013.4%1 - 112.2%0 - 111.4%1 - 210.7%1 - 09.5%
Advanced scenarios
Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso28.8%
Clean sheet34.1%
15.4%
Win to nil20.7%
9.8%
Win by 2 goals or more15.2%
Team comparison
Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso7thCurrent position5th
1535Elo1624
LWWDDForm (last 5)WWDWW
1.8Goals scored / match (5)1.6
1.0Goals conceded / match (5)0.2
20.0Clean sheets (5)80.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
The Foresportia model sees a very balanced match. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 0 (13.39%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.5% and BTTS No at 49.5%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 70.9%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Sport Boys vs Deportivo Garcilaso
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Sport Boys sits 7th and Deportivo Garcilaso 5th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1535 for Sport Boys and 1624 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 53.3% for Sport Boys and 86.7% for Deportivo Garcilaso. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Sport Boys 29.1%, the draw 33% and Deportivo Garcilaso 37.9%. The expected-goals model projects 1.05 xG against 1.24, for a combined 2.29. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 0–0 at 13.4%.