Relative strengthAdvantage Alianza Lima
Prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II CollegeWWLDL16.5%Juan Pablo II College
27.9%Draw
55.6%Alianza Lima
Alianza LimaLDWDWVERDICTModerate edge for Alianza Lima
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Alianza Lima has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Alianza Lima a moderate edge in the 1X2 reading. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 83.5%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 50.9%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 83.5%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formRather balanced
Goal profileIntermediate goal profile
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceModerate
Probabilities & verdict
Juan Pablo II College16.5%Draw27.9%
Alianza Lima55.6%Main pickAlianza Lima
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence50.9%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | X2 | 83.5% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Alianza Lima | 77.1% | Solid |
| Total goals | Under 2.5 | 50.2% | Neutral |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | Neutral |
| Total goals | Under 3.5 | 75.6% | Solid |
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)0.83Juan Pablo II College
Total xG2.50
Expected goals (xG)1.68Alianza Lima
Under 2.5 probability50.2%
BTTS No probability49.9%
Top 5 likely scores
0 - 112.9%1 - 212.7%1 - 110.9%0 - 010.8%0 - 28.3%
Advanced scenarios
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima18.8%
Clean sheet41.8%
8%
Win to nil31.1%
4%
Win by 2 goals or more29.3%
Team comparison
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza Lima15thCurrent position1st
1465Elo1658
WWLDLForm (last 5)LDWDW
1.8Goals scored / match (5)1.2
1.6Goals conceded / match (5)0.8
20.0Clean sheets (5)20.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?
The Foresportia model gives Alianza Lima a moderate edge at 55.6%. Caution is still required.
What is the likely score?
The model's first score scenario is 0 - 1 (12.92%). An exact score remains one scenario among several.
Is BTTS likely?
The model estimates BTTS Yes at 50.1% and BTTS No at 49.9%.
Which market is the most cautious according to the model?
Double chance X2 stands at 83.5%, without being certain.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, Juan Pablo II College sits 15th and Alianza Lima 1st in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1465 for Juan Pablo II College and 1658 for Alianza Lima.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 46.7% for Juan Pablo II College and 53.3% for Alianza Lima. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives Juan Pablo II College 16.5%, the draw 27.9% and Alianza Lima 55.6%. The expected-goals model projects 0.83 xG against 1.68, for a combined 2.50. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 0–1 at 12.9%.