Relative strengthAdvantage Cusco
First AI projection for FC Cajamarca vs Cusco
FC CajamarcaLWLLW26.9%FC Cajamarca
24.7%Draw
48.4%Cusco
CuscoWWLWLVERDICTCusco slight favourite
Foresportia's analysis estimates that Cusco has the advantage based on the 1X2 probabilities. The models give Cusco a slight edge, but the gap is not large enough to form a strong signal. The stability level still calls for a cautious reading. The more protective signal remains double chance X2 at 73.1%, rather than the straight 1X2 pick. Confidence reflects how clear the signal is for this match; stability reflects its historical robustness.
1X2 STABILITYRisk The stability badge measures the historical robustness of the 1X2 signal.Model confidence 41.5%
ROBUST ALTERNATIVEDouble chance X2 · 73.1%A more protective scenario than the straight 1X2 pick.
Why the model sees it this way
Recent formAdvantage Cusco
Goal profileRather open
Signal stabilityLow
Model confidenceLow
Probabilities & verdict
FC Cajamarca26.9%Draw24.7%
Cusco48.4%Main pickCusco
1X2 STABILITYRisk
Model confidence41.5%
1X2 alternatives
| Market | Pick | Probability | Reading |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 12 | 75.3% | Most robust signal |
| Draw no bet | Cusco | 64.3% | Interesting |
| Total goals | Over 2.5 | 64.7% | Interesting |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | Solid |
| Total goals | Over 1.5 | 81.9% | Solid |
This early estimate is published ahead of the match. Probabilities may change with recent form, injuries, line-ups, scheduling and newly available data.
How the match could unfold
Expected goals (xG)1.35FC Cajamarca
Total xG3.22
Expected goals (xG)1.87Cusco
Under 2.5 probability35.3%
BTTS No probability34.6%
Top 5 likely scores
1 - 211.3%1 - 19.4%2 - 18%0 - 17.3%2 - 26.6%
Advanced scenarios
FC CajamarcaCusco15.4%
Clean sheet24.8%
9.8%
Win to nil19.2%
10.5%
Win by 2 goals or more25.8%
Team comparison
FC CajamarcaCusco17thCurrent position7th
1441Elo1619
LWLLWForm (last 5)WWLWL
2.4Goals scored / match (5)1.6
3.0Goals conceded / match (5)1.6
0.0Clean sheets (5)40.0
Prediction reliability
This match carries more uncertainty than average. Our models therefore reduce confidence slightly.
HISTORICAL PERFORMANCERisk profile
29.2%
29.2% correct predictions
over 48 verified matches
HISTORICAL SUCCESS RATE
Quick FAQ
What does the first AI projection say about FC Cajamarca vs Cusco?
The Foresportia model gives Cusco a slight edge at 48.4%. This probability may change before the match.
Why can this estimate change?
Recent form, injuries, line-ups, fixture congestion and newly available data will be included in later updates.
Is an early likely score available?
The first calculated scenario is 1 - 2 (11.30%), but this is an early estimate that may change.
Explore more on Foresportia
Our commitment
◇ Predictions archived before kick-off
◇ No invented data
What the data says about FC Cajamarca vs Cusco
This Peruvian Liga 1 fixture is presented using the competition calendar, the available standings and the teams' recent form.
Before kick-off, FC Cajamarca sits 17th and Cusco 7th in the table. Their Elo ratings are 1441 for FC Cajamarca and 1619 for Cusco.
Across the five latest available matches, the form index is 40% for FC Cajamarca and 60% for Cusco. It measures recent momentum but does not decide the result on its own.
According to probabilities calculated by Foresportia, the 1X2 projection gives FC Cajamarca 26.9%, the draw 24.7% and Cusco 48.4%. The expected-goals model projects 1.35 xG against 1.87, for a combined 3.22. The most likely score according to Foresportia is 1–2 at 11.3%.